Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV $64.93, price $26.29, upside +147.0%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.18 – $40.07 · fair‑value band $31.09 – $98.90 · the $26.29 price screens below the $64.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America.
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Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership self-service wholesale stores under the Sam's Club name. It also offers mobile internet connectivity services, advertising services, and financial services through digital wallet, as well as sells airtime recharges and imports goods for resale. In addition, the company develops and manages real estate properties. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. de R.L. de C.V.
Stock analysis
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (WMMVY) currently trades at $26.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.93, implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $91.10 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the $26.29 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $16.05, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $31.09 (bear) to $98.90 (bull), the price of $26.29 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR reported revenue of 1.0T MXN in FY2025 versus 736B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 49.9B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $50.5B · P/E ratio 15.8 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $1.66 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 20.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 147%, WMMVY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $31.09Fair Value $64.93Bull $98.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3699 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.3% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (83 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Discount Stores · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+146.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20.2% · Above median
Return on assets10.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.4% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WMMVY
Frequently asked questions
Is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.93 versus a price of $26.29, about +147% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WMMVY?
Our model-based fair value for Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is $64.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.29.
What is the quality score of WMMVY?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $64.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.09, optimistic scenario $98.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $64.93, about +147% upside versus a price of $26.29 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $31.09, optimistic scenario $98.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR pay a dividend?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -6.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WMMVY use?
Our models discount Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR that is -6.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR grew +7.6 % a year. The price currently implies -6.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (-6.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.55 %: that much free cash flow Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR it is $64.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $26.29. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WMMVY trades below its calculated fair value: price $26.29, fair value $64.93, a gap of about +147% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WMMVY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($64.93). For Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR the two are $38.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR worth?
The market values Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR at about $50.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $26.29; our models calculate a fair value of $64.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WMMVY?
Our models span a range for Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR: cautious scenario $31.09, base $64.93, optimistic $98.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $26.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WMMVY?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $64.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2.
What is the PEG ratio of WMMVY?
The PEG ratio of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 2.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 20.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WMMVY from its 52-week high?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR trades at $26.29, about 24% below its 52-week high of $34.53 and 2% above the low of $25.85 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $64.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Walmart Inc, Costco Wholesale Corporation, Target Corporation, Dollarama Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $26.29, calculated fair value $64.93 (+147%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WMMVY calculated?
We run Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $64.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR currently trades 147 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $26.29. Our model-based fair value is $64.93, about +147% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($31.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($31.09 to $98.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The market capitalisation of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is $50.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 0.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Earnings per share at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR are $1.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The dividend yield of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 4.4% (payout 69.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The net margin of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 16.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
The operating margin of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Revenue at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVY)?
Earnings per share at Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR are growing +1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026