Wawel S.A (WWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 922M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (541.63 PLN to 1,235 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from 541.63 PLN (bear) to 1,235 PLN (bull), base 822.86 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 360.68 PLN – 841.21 PLN · fair‑value band 541.63 PLN – 1,235 PLN · the 708.00 PLN price screens below the 822.86 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Wawel S.A (WWL) currently trades at 708.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 822.86 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Wawel S.A generated revenue of 719M PLN at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 126M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 541.63 PLN (bear case) to 1,235 PLN (bull case); at 708.00 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 16%, WWL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,165 PLN) versus Growth DCF (301.40 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wawel S.A. produces and sells cocoa, chocolate, and confectionary products in Poland. It offers various chocolate bars, chocolate pastilles, chocolate souffles, chocolate coated candies, chocolate pralines, no added sugar, cocoa powder, fresh and fruity, travel gummies, cream fudge/krówka, baked goods, tofflairs, filled hard caramels, chocolate jellies, and …
Full company description
Wawel S.A. produces and sells cocoa, chocolate, and confectionary products in Poland. It offers various chocolate bars, chocolate pastilles, chocolate souffles, chocolate coated candies, chocolate pralines, no added sugar, cocoa powder, fresh and fruity, travel gummies, cream fudge/krówka, baked goods, tofflairs, filled hard caramels, chocolate jellies, and fruits in chocolate as well as other candies. The company sells its products through its outlets and online shop. It also exports its products. Wawel S.A. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Kraków, Poland. Wawel S.A. is a subsidiary of Hosta International AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wawel S.A reported revenue of 739M PLN in FY2025 versus 518M PLN in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was 84.6M PLN in FY2025, compounding +18.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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