Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Wizz Air Holdings PLC $1.28, price $3.81, upside -66.4%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Wizz Air Holdings Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of passenger air transportation services. The company offers scheduled short-haul and medium-haul point-to-point routes in Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, and Northwest Asia.
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Wizz Air Holdings Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of passenger air transportation services. The company offers scheduled short-haul and medium-haul point-to-point routes in Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, and Northwest Asia. As of 31 March 2026, it operated a fleet of 262 aircraft, connecting approximately 200 destinations on 1016 routes in 45 countries. The company provides its services under the Wizz Air brand. Wizz Air Holdings Plc was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.
Stock analysis
Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) currently trades at $3.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.28, 66.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.70 per share, and 12 of the 21 models we run sit above the $3.81 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 9 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Wizz Air Holdings PLC reported revenue of €5.7B in FY2026 versus €1.7B in FY2022, a compound +36.2%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 380.8 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin −41.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −66%, WZZZY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.28Fair Value $1.28Bull $1.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0051 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.9% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−64.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−64.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−64.0% vs −41.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−72% → −2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airlines · 53 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+56.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−41.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wizz Air Holdings PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WZZZY
Frequently asked questions
Is Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.28 versus a price of $3.81, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WZZZY?
Our model-based fair value for Wizz Air Holdings PLC is $1.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.81.
What is the quality score of WZZZY?
Wizz Air Holdings PLC has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wizz Air Holdings PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.28, about −66% upside versus a price of $3.81 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Wizz Air Holdings PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wizz Air Holdings PLC would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +50.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WZZZY use?
Our models discount Wizz Air Holdings PLC at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wizz Air Holdings PLC that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wizz Air Holdings PLC grew +50.6 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wizz Air Holdings PLC (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.07 %: that much free cash flow Wizz Air Holdings PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wizz Air Holdings PLC it is $1.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.81. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wizz Air Holdings PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WZZZY trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.81, fair value $1.28, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WZZZY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.28). For Wizz Air Holdings PLC the two are $2.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wizz Air Holdings PLC worth?
The market values Wizz Air Holdings PLC at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.81; our models calculate a fair value of $1.28 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of WZZZY?
Wizz Air Holdings PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 380.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.5, P/S 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of WZZZY?
The PEG ratio of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wizz Air Holdings PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.2%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WZZZY from its 52-week high?
Wizz Air Holdings PLC trades at $3.81, about 24% below its 52-week high of $5.02 and 31% above the low of $2.90 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wizz Air Holdings PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Delta Air Lines, Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Ryanair Holdings, Southwest Airlines Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wizz Air Holdings PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.81, calculated fair value $1.28 (−66%), Quality Score 37/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WZZZY calculated?
We run Wizz Air Holdings PLC through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wizz Air Holdings PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $3.81. Our model-based fair value is $1.28, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wizz Air Holdings PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Wizz Air Holdings PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The market capitalisation of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Earnings per share at Wizz Air Holdings PLC are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 380.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The net margin of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is 0.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
The operating margin of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is −41.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Revenue at Wizz Air Holdings PLC is growing +2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY)?
Earnings per share at Wizz Air Holdings PLC are growing −9.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wizz Air Holdings PLC (WZZZY) carry?
The net debt of Wizz Air Holdings PLC is €5.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 13.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026