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Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG982971072

XC Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings

XIAXF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.3400 · Strongly undervalued (+147%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.9% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.28 $0.1100 Fair Value $0.3400 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1100 – $2.28 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.4300 · the $0.1376 price screens below the $0.3400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Chinese hotpot restaurants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company owns and operates restaurants under the Xiabuxiabu brand name, and restaurants under the Coucou brand name.

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Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Chinese hotpot restaurants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company owns and operates restaurants under the Xiabuxiabu brand name, and restaurants under the Coucou brand name. It also provides catering services; and sells condiment products and other goods. In addition, the company engages in the slaughtering, processing, cold storage, and sale of raw materials; and construction business. Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Ying Qi Investments Limited.

Stock analysis

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF) currently trades at $0.1376, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $2.83 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.1376 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.2100, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.2900 (bear) to $0.4300 (bull), the price of $0.1376 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings reported revenue of 3.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −293M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $145M · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Net margin −7.9% · Return on equity −45.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4% · Operating margin −9.3% · Revenue (TTM) $3.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 147%, XIAXF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2900 Fair Value $0.3400 Bull $0.4300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.77 $2.11 $2.67 80
Growth DCF $1.80 $2.13 $2.61 77
Owner Earnings $1.45 $1.71 $2.14 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.77 $2.11 $2.67 80
Owner Earnings $1.45 $1.71 $2.14 75
5Y Revenue Exit $1.88 $2.51 $3.43 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.64 $3.82 $5.39 72
10Y Revenue Exit $1.79 $2.20 $2.63 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.21 $2.89 $3.61 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2000 $0.2300 $0.2700 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.92 $5.08 $6.24 64
EV/Revenue $2.11 $2.83 $3.55 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4400 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.80 $2.13 $2.61 77
Rev-Margin DCF $1.88 $2.55 $3.37 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.6% (2019) → −5.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 223 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −35% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 20.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $252.53 $149.03 −41%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $98.74 $35.83 −64%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $36.20 $39.82 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $140.87 $58.17 −59%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$106.75 C$100.88 −5%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $209.89 $173.68 −17%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $42.32 $49.95 +18%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $181.22 $128.38 −29%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $43.90 $12.80 −71%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $311.60 $227.31 −27%

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$0.3400 +60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XIAXF

Frequently asked questions

Is Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3400 versus a price of $0.1376, about +147% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XIAXF?
Our model-based fair value for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is $0.3400 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1376.
What is the quality score of XIAXF?
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3400 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2900, optimistic scenario $0.4300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3400, about +147% upside versus a price of $0.1376 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2900, optimistic scenario $0.4300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings it is $0.3400 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.1376. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, XIAXF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1376, fair value $0.3400, a gap of about +147% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XIAXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1376); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3400). For Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings the two are $0.2024 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings worth?
The market values Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings at about $145M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.1376; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XIAXF?
Our models span a range for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings: cautious scenario $0.2900, base $0.3400, optimistic $0.4300 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.1376). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −45.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XIAXF from its 52-week high?
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings trades at $0.1376, about 11% below its 52-week high of $0.1548 and 25% above the low of $0.1100 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.1376, calculated fair value $0.3400 (+147%), Quality Score 43/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XIAXF calculated?
We run Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings currently trades 147 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
The market capitalisation of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is $145M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Earnings per share at Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
The net margin of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is −7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is −45.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
The operating margin of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Revenue at Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is growing −21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF)?
Earnings per share at Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings are growing +105% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is $194M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (XIAXF) carry?
The net debt of Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is $637M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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