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Xperi Corp (XPER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Xperi Corp $1.90, price $5.50, upside -65.4%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US98423J1016

XC Xperi Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Xperi Corp

XPER · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.90 · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$26.00 $5.11 Fair Value $1.90 Sep 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range $5.11 – $26.00 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $2.26 · the $5.50 price screens above the $1.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Xperi Inc. operates as a media and entertainment technology company worldwide.

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Xperi Inc. operates as a media and entertainment technology company worldwide. It offers Pay-TV solutions, including user experience solutions servicing Pay-TV operators; and electronic program guides, including TV listings navigation plus integrated video-on-demand and digital video recorder, as well as integrates broadband internet-delivered video directly into the consumer's primary video consumption platform to provide universal search, discovery, and consumption regardless of where the content originates. The company also provides TiVo IPTV Service, a cloud-based solution to set-top-boxes in consumer homes, as well as applications that operate on third-party software platforms, such tablets, smartphones, smart TVs, streaming devices, and traditional IPTV set-top boxes; managed IPTV services; video metadata products comprising metadata libraries, covering television, sports, movies, digital-first, and celebrities; personalized content discovery, natural language voice, and insights; direct-to-consumer retail TiVo DVR subscriptions; and technical support operations. In addition, it offers home, mobile audio, and DTS post-processing audio solutions; Connected Car solutions, such as HD radio, a digital terrestrial broadcast system and DTS autostage, an automotive infotainment platform; and media platform, including TiVo OS, TiVo OS for TV devices, TiVo OS for Car, and TiVo OS, as well as TV viewership data and advertising monetization solutions. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Stock analysis

Xperi Corp (XPER) currently trades at $5.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 188.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $5.75 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the $5.50 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $2.87, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.55 (bear) to $2.26 (bull), the price of $5.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Xperi Corp reported revenue of $448M in FY2025 versus $486M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$56.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $620M · P/S ratio 0.83 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9900 · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin −12.6% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.9% · Operating margin 1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −65%, XPER screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.55 Fair Value $1.90 Bull $2.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $2.45 $2.87 $3.29 67
Gordon GGM $3.50 $6.31 $8.69 66
DDM Multi-Stage $3.50 $5.54 $6.74 65
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.50 $6.31 $8.69 66
DDM Multi-Stage $3.50 $5.54 $6.74 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.45 $2.87 $3.29 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.29 $5.75 $8.58 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.6% (2020) → −9.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

XPER screens 189% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 720 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.38× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.08× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)1 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €184.18 €159.06 −14%
Shopify Inc SHOP $142.34 $64.36 −55%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $140.78 $154.86 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $309.09 $225.14 −27%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $334.81 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $251.49 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $263.68 $177.51 −33%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xperi Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XPER

Frequently asked questions

Is Xperi Corp (XPER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.90 versus a price of $5.50, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XPER?
Our model-based fair value for Xperi Corp is $1.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.50.
What is the quality score of XPER?
Xperi Corp has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xperi Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.90, about −65% upside versus a price of $5.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Xperi Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $448M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Xperi Corp pay a dividend?
Xperi Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xperi Corp it is $1.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.50. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xperi Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, XPER trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.50, fair value $1.90, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XPER?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.90). For Xperi Corp the two are $3.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xperi Corp worth?
The market values Xperi Corp at about $620M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.50; our models calculate a fair value of $1.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XPER?
Our models span a range for Xperi Corp: cautious scenario $1.55, base $1.90, optimistic $2.26 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of XPER?
The PEG ratio of Xperi Corp is 1.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xperi Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XPER from its 52-week high?
Xperi Corp trades at $5.50, about 36% below its 52-week high of $8.64 and 8% above the low of $5.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xperi Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xperi Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.50, calculated fair value $1.90 (−65%), Quality Score 30/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XPER calculated?
We run Xperi Corp through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Xperi Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.50. Our model-based fair value is $1.90, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xperi Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Xperi Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The market capitalisation of Xperi Corp is $620M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xperi Corp is 0.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Earnings per share at Xperi Corp are $−0.9900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The dividend yield of Xperi Corp is 5.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The net margin of Xperi Corp is −12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xperi Corp is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xperi Corp is −30.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xperi Corp (XPER)?
The operating margin of Xperi Corp is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Revenue at Xperi Corp is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xperi Corp (XPER)?
Earnings per share at Xperi Corp are growing +380% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xperi Corp (XPER) generate?
The free cash flow of Xperi Corp is −$21.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xperi Corp (XPER) hold?
Xperi Corp holds more cash than debt, $26.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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