Xperi Inc (XPER) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $374M
Xperi Inc
XPER · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −9.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range $5.11 – $26.00 · fair‑value band $1.24 – $1.76 · the $7.14 price screens above the $1.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Xperi Inc (XPER) currently trades at $7.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xperi Inc generated revenue of $448M at a net margin of -10.2%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $26.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.24 (bear case) to $1.76 (bull case); at $7.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -79%, XPER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($5.75) versus Multiples ($2.40). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xperi Inc. operates as a media and entertainment technology company worldwide. It offers Pay-TV solutions, including user experience solutions servicing Pay-TV operators; and electronic program guides, including TV listings navigation plus integrated video-on-demand and digital video recorder, as well as integrates broadband internet-delivered video …
Full company description
Xperi Inc. operates as a media and entertainment technology company worldwide. It offers Pay-TV solutions, including user experience solutions servicing Pay-TV operators; and electronic program guides, including TV listings navigation plus integrated video-on-demand and digital video recorder, as well as integrates broadband internet-delivered video directly into the consumer's primary video consumption platform to provide universal search, discovery, and consumption regardless of where the content originates. The company also provides TiVo IPTV Service, a cloud-based solution to set-top-boxes in consumer homes, as well as applications that operate on third-party software platforms, such tablets, smartphones, smart TVs, streaming devices, and traditional IPTV set-top boxes; managed IPTV services; video metadata products comprising metadata libraries, covering television, sports, movies, digital-first, and celebrities; personalized content discovery, natural language voice, and insights; direct-to-consumer retail TiVo DVR subscriptions; and technical support operations. In addition, it offers home, mobile audio, and DTS post-processing audio solutions; Connected Car solutions, such as HD radio, a digital terrestrial broadcast system and DTS autostage, an automotive infotainment platform; and media platform, including TiVo OS, TiVo OS for TV devices, TiVo OS for Car, and TiVo OS, as well as TV viewership data and advertising monetization solutions. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xperi Inc reported revenue of $448M in FY2025 versus $486M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$56.3M in FY2025.
XPER screens 79% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- BYD Auto and Xperi Announce Adoption of DTS AutoStage™ as Exclusive In‑Car Media Platform for BYD Vehicles
- Xperi (XPER) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
- Xperi (XPER) Reports 2025 Results, TiVo One Platform MAUs Grow Over 250% to 5.3M
Peer Group
Software - Application · 710 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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