Xplus S.A (XPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · PL · Market cap 228M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −5.3% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from 1.83 PLN (bear) to 3.05 PLN (bull), base 2.44 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 80/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.20 PLN – 4.35 PLN · fair‑value band 1.83 PLN – 3.05 PLN · the 3.03 PLN price screens above the 2.44 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Xplus S.A (XPL) currently trades at 3.03 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.44 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xplus S.A generated revenue of 59.9M PLN at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 19.2M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.83 PLN (bear case) to 3.05 PLN (bull case); at 3.03 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -19%, XPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.87 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.2200 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xplus S.A. offers IT software solutions in Poland, European Union, and internationally. The company offers XPLUS- Testing , an autonomous regression testing for dynamics 365; XPLUS- User Security Governance, a full audit readiness, license control, and scalable role management for Dynamics 365; XPLUS- Discovery, a full visibility and control over what …
Full company description
Xplus S.A. offers IT software solutions in Poland, European Union, and internationally. The company offers XPLUS- Testing , an autonomous regression testing for dynamics 365; XPLUS- User Security Governance, a full audit readiness, license control, and scalable role management for Dynamics 365; XPLUS- Discovery, a full visibility and control over what happens inside Dynamics 365. It also provides compliance and risk reduction solutions such as auditing and compliance, cost and license optimization, GDPR compliance, anti-fraud, error detection, and monitoring; quality and testing solutions include performance testing, regression testing, automated testing for D365 business central, and testing lite; and operational confidence solutions such as AI-powered observability, business process mining, performance monitoring, polish localization. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Warsaw, Poland. Xplus S.A. is a subsidiary of FCBSL Spolka Z Ograniczona Odpowiedzialnoscia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xplus S.A reported revenue of 58.4M PLN in FY2025 versus 51.7M PLN in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 8.5M PLN in FY2025, compounding −2.7%/yr from FY2021.
XPL screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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