Yamada Holdings (YMDAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.1B
Yamada Holdings
YMDAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $2.31 to $4.09 (+76.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.
A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.86 to $5.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.65 – $4.59 · fair‑value band $2.86 – $5.22 · the $3.16 price screens below the $4.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Yamada Holdings (YMDAF) currently trades at $3.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.09, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yamada Holdings generated revenue of $1.7T at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at $178B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.86 (bear case) to $5.22 (bull case); at $3.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 29%, YMDAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($3.94) versus Growth DCF ($0.0725). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the consumer electronics retailing activities in Japan and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Electronics, Housing, Financial, and Environment Business.
Full company description
Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the consumer electronics retailing activities in Japan and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Electronics, Housing, Financial, and Environment Business. The company offers home electrical appliances, such as Televisions, refrigerators, and washing machines; home information appliances, including computers and mobile phones; housing-related products comprises furniture and home interiors provision of renovation services. It is also involved in manufacturing and sale of housing equipment, such as bathroom equipment and kitchen equipment; and providing reuse, recycling, and recovery of resource services mainly for home electrical appliances and computers, as well as provides financial products for new construction, renovation, payment services, insurance products, and life planning. The company was formerly known as Yamada Denki Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd. in October 2020. Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Takasaki, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Yamada Holdings reported revenue of $1.7T in FY2026 versus $1.6T in FY2022, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $14.9B in FY2026, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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