Clear Secure, Inc (YOU) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $7.0B
Clear Secure, Inc
YOU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −7.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($37.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($16.28 to $37.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.18 – $62.18 · fair‑value band $16.28 – $37.66 · the $51.29 price screens above the $21.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Clear Secure, Inc (YOU) currently trades at $51.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.70, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Clear Secure, Inc generated revenue of $942M at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue grew 19.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 109.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $85.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.28 (bear case) to $37.66 (bull case); at $51.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -58%, YOU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($52.90) versus Asset-Based ($1.18). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Clear Secure, Inc. operates a secure identity platform under the CLEAR brand name primarily in the United States. It provides secure identity platform, a multi-layered infrastructure consisting of front-end, including enrollment, verification, and linking, as well as back-end.
Full company description
Clear Secure, Inc. operates a secure identity platform under the CLEAR brand name primarily in the United States. It provides secure identity platform, a multi-layered infrastructure consisting of front-end, including enrollment, verification, and linking, as well as back-end. The company also offers CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, which enables access to predictable entry lanes in airport security checkpoints, as well as access to broader network; and CLEAR mobile app, which is used to enroll new members and improve the experience for existing members. In addition, it provides RESERVE powered by CLEAR to reservation spot for airport locations; Home to Gate, a feature to help travelers plan and time their trip to the airport; CLEAR1, a B2B offering that extends secure identity platform to partners to create friction-free experiences for their customers; CLEAR ID, a free and mobile digital ID that allow any traveler to verify their identity; CLEAR Concierge which enhances the CLEAR value proposition for high-frequency and premium travelers, as well as travelers requiring additional assistance, such as families and senior citizens; CLEAR Perks, a suite of added benefits that help CLEAR members get an even more seamless experience; TSA PreCheck Enrollment Provided by CLEAR, as well as online renewal services; Sora ID, a one-click know your customer that enables adding know your customer services to platform offerings; and a virtual queuing technology. The company has a strategic collaboration with Samsung Electronics America, Inc. for the development of Samsung ID with CLEAR, a digital ID solution that allows users to add a US passport to Samsung Wallet and verify their identity. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Clear Secure, Inc. is a subsidiary of Alclear Investments, Llc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Clear Secure, Inc reported revenue of $901M in FY2025 versus $254M in FY2021, a compound +37.2%/yr. Reported net income was $109M in FY2025.
YOU screens 58% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- CLEAR Launches Corporate Memberships, Bringing Seamless Travel Benefits to Business Travelers From Home to Gate
- Clear Secure (YOU) Draws A Richer Valuation As Earnings Beat And Dividend Land
- Does Raised Free Cash Flow Guidance And Dividend Support Change The Bull Case For Clear Secure (YOU)?
- Clear Secure, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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