York Timber Holdings (YRK) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 980M ZAC
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R7.70 to R3.23 (−58.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 47% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R3.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R1.56 – R3.78 · fair‑value band R3.06 – R3.92 · the R2.20 price screens below the R3.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
York Timber Holdings (YRK) currently trades at R2.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R3.23, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, York Timber Holdings generated revenue of 2.0B ZAR at a net margin of 12.1%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at 583M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R3.06 (bear case) to R3.92 (bull case); at R2.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 47%, YRK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R11.59) versus Dividend Discount (R0.7000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when YRK reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
York Timber Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the forestry, sawmilling, plywood, wholesale, and farming businesses in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Processing Plants, Forestry and Fleet, Wholesale, and Agriculture.
Full company description
York Timber Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the forestry, sawmilling, plywood, wholesale, and farming businesses in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Processing Plants, Forestry and Fleet, Wholesale, and Agriculture. It operates sawmills that produces and sells various structural and industrial sawn timber products; and plywood plant that manufactures and sells plywood timber products. The company owns plantations that grows pine and eucalyptus trees; and provides fleet solutions that owns heavy motor vehicles that are used to transport logs. In addition, it is involved in operating distribution centers that sells timber-related products from the sawmills, plywood plants, and external suppliers; and owns land with avocados, and citrus and macadamias orchards, as well as fruit packaging facility. The company was incorporated in 1916 and is headquartered in Sabie, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
York Timber Holdings reported revenue of R2.0B in FY2025 versus R1.9B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was R317M in FY2025, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch YRK: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $194.83 | $145.26 | -25% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$97.70 | C$33.38 | -66% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $92.82 | $107.07 | +15% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹763.85 | ₹201.01 | -74% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$15.73 | C$4.54 | -71% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$14.38 | C$6.43 | -55% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.17 | ¥0.6700 | -79% |
Compare York Timber Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is York Timber Holdings (YRK) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of YRK?
What is the quality score of YRK?
What is the revenue of York Timber Holdings (YRK)?
What is the net profit margin of YRK?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track York Timber Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.