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Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. stock €0.22, price €1.14, upside -80.7%, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · ES · ISIN ES0105775003

TH Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A.

YTCH · MC

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 73/100
Highly profitable · 45.9% net margin (FY2024)
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +441.3 %/yr in EUR)
Moderate moat 63/100 · thin data
Fair value €0.2200 · Strongly overvalued (−80.7%)
Trails peers (2/11)
Thin data
Structural break
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1.14 €0.9881 Fair Value €0.2200 Apr 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range €0.9881 – €1.14 · fair‑value band €0.1700 – €0.2800 · the €1.14 price screens above the €0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

TECHO HOGAR SOCIMI Sociedad de Beneficio e Interés Común, SA engages in the acquisition and development of urban real estate for lease in Spain. It acquires, renovates, and rents properties to social entities; and creates homes to accommodate individuals.

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The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Madrid, Spain. The company was formerly known as Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. and changed its name to TECHO HOGAR SOCIMI Sociedad de Beneficio e Interés Común, SA in March 2026.

The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Stock analysis

Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH) currently trades at €1.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2200, 80.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €0.4400 per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the €1.14 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.1500, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.1700 (bear) to €0.2800 (bull), the price of €1.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. reported revenue of €1.4M in FY2024 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was €626K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap €54.4M · P/E ratio 38.0 · P/S ratio 17.4 · EPS (TTM) €0.0300 · Net margin 45.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −112% · Net debt €1.3K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −81%, YTCH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€0.1400 to €1.68). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €0.1700 Fair Value €0.2200 Bull €0.2800
Price €1.14 · Upside -80.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA €0.1700 €0.2200 €0.2800 64
Residual Income €0.5000 €0.4400 €0.4100 64
EV/EBIT €0.1800 €0.2400 €0.3000 63
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple €0.1400 €0.1900 €0.2300 58
P/B Multiple €1.26 €1.68 €2.10 55
EV/EBIT €0.1800 €0.2400 €0.3000 63
EV/EBITDA €0.1700 €0.2200 €0.2800 64
EV/Revenue €0.1000 €0.1400 €0.1900 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1000 €0.1500 €0.1800 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.5000 €0.4400 €0.4100 64

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns getting better?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 70
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 100
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 44
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 71
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

YTCH screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with CBRE Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 522 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −80.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 45.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 38.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.52× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 71.8× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.31 €36.55 +124% vs YTCH
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $303.14 $540.65 +78% vs YTCH
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$38.38 HK$56.54 +47% vs YTCH
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €24.60 €23.94 −3% vs YTCH
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.52 HK$27.42 −10% vs YTCH
CBRE Group CBRE $130.80 $91.06 −30% vs YTCH
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.30 HK$13.39 −45% vs YTCH
KE Holdings BEKE $16.43 $7.20 −56% vs YTCH
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.42 SGD 0.5600 SGD −77% vs YTCH
CoStar Group CSGP $29.21 $6.19 −79% vs YTCH

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Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. · Fair Value
€0.2200 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YTCH

Frequently asked questions

Is Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2200 versus a price of €1.14, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YTCH?
Our model-based fair value for Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is €0.2200 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.14.
What is the quality score of YTCH?
Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2200 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1700, optimistic scenario €0.2800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2200, about −81% upside versus a price of €1.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1700, optimistic scenario €0.2800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. it is €0.2200 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €1.14. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, YTCH trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.14, fair value €0.2200, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YTCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2200). For Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. the two are €0.9200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. worth?
The market values Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. at about €54.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €1.14; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YTCH?
Our models span a range for Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A.: cautious scenario €0.1700, base €0.2200, optimistic €0.2800 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €1.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YTCH?
Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, EV/EBITDA 71.8.
How far is YTCH from its 52-week high?
Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. trades at €1.14, at its 52-week high of €1.14 and 8% above the low of €1.06 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €1.14, calculated fair value €0.2200 (−81%), Quality Score 73/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YTCH calculated?
We run Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was €1.14. Our model-based fair value is €0.2200, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.2800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
The market capitalisation of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is €54.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is 17.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
Earnings per share at Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. are €0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
The net margin of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is 45.9% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is −112% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. (YTCH) carry?
The net debt of Techo Hogar SOCIMI, S.A. is €1.3K (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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