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Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. €5.45, price €3.24, upside +68.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · ES · ISIN ES0105210019

TR Some data Sep 23, 2026

Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A.

YTST · MC

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value €5.45 · Strongly undervalued (+68%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +2.7 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 71.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€5.35 €2.56 Fair Value €5.45 Jul 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.56 – €5.35 · fair‑value band €4.08 – €6.81 · the €3.24 price screens below the €5.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Testa Residencial SOCIMI, S.A., a real estate company, engages in the acquisition, management, and rental of residential properties in metropolitan areas of Spain. The company is based in Madrid, Spain. Testa Residencial SOCIMI, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tropic Real Estate Holding, S.L.

Stock analysis

Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST) currently trades at €3.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.45, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €6.51 per share, and 4 of the 6 models we run sit above the €3.24 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €2.94, and 2 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €4.08 (bear) to €6.81 (bull), the price of €3.24 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. reported revenue of €110M in FY2025 versus €85.4M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was €78.4M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €427M · P/E ratio 5.4 · P/S ratio 3.84 · EPS (TTM) €0.6000 · Net margin 71.1% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 59.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 68%, YTST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €4.08 Fair Value €5.45 Bull €6.81
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4389 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €6.32 €6.51 €6.55 68
EV/EBITDA n/a €2.94 €6.22 62
EV/EBIT n/a €1.43 €4.34 61
All 6 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple €4.08 €5.45 €6.81 58
P/B Multiple €7.59 €10.12 €12.65 55
EV/EBIT n/a €1.43 €4.34 61
EV/EBITDA n/a €2.94 €6.22 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.12 €5.52 €8.24 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.32 €6.51 €6.55 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +11.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → 63%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 59% above its own trend.

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Compare Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 157 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 71% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.40× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 26.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)30 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)31 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Goodman Group GMG A$26.77 A$7.92 −70%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $23.98 $59.95 +150%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $66.89 $69.67 +4%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$18.50 A$20.29 +10%
Stockland SGP A$4.20 A$2.79 −34%
COV COV €47.16 €50.01 +6%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.55 A$3.49 −23%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.78 A$0.7400 −58%
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $19.12 $19.39 +1%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.27 MYR 6.91 MYR −16%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YTST

Frequently asked questions

Is Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.45 versus a price of €3.24, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YTST?
Our model-based fair value for Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is €5.45 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.24.
What is the quality score of YTST?
Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.45 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.08, optimistic scenario €6.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.45, about +68% upside versus a price of €3.24 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.08, optimistic scenario €6.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €111M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. it is €5.45 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €3.24. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, YTST trades below its calculated fair value: price €3.24, fair value €5.45, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YTST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.45). For Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. the two are €2.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. worth?
The market values Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. at about €427M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €3.24; our models calculate a fair value of €5.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YTST?
Our models span a range for Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A.: cautious scenario €4.08, base €5.45, optimistic €6.81 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €3.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YTST?
Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.45 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 26.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 1.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YTST from its 52-week high?
Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. trades at €3.24, about 1% below its 52-week high of €3.28 and 27% above the low of €2.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €3.24, calculated fair value €5.45 (+68%), Quality Score 47/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YTST calculated?
We run Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €3.24. Our model-based fair value is €5.45, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€4.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The market capitalisation of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is €427M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is 3.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Earnings per share at Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. are €0.6000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The net margin of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is 71.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
The operating margin of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is 59.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST)?
Revenue at Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST) generate?
The free cash flow of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is −€41.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. (YTST) carry?
The net debt of Testa Residencial SOCIMI S.A. is €1.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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