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Zhibao Technology Inc (ZBAO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $15.7M

ZT Zhibao Technology Inc logo Zhibao Technology Inc ZBAO · US
Price$0.1950
Fair Value$0.2103
Upside+7.9%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -19.5% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.1390 – $0.2626 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from $0.8810 to $0.2103 (−76.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −54.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1390 to $0.2626) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$4.61 $0.1590 Fair Value $0.2103 Apr 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

28‑month range $0.1590 – $4.61 · fair‑value band $0.1390 – $0.2626 · the $0.1950 price screens below the $0.2103 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhibao Technology Inc (ZBAO) currently trades at $0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2103, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhibao Technology Inc generated revenue of $337M at a net margin of -19.5%. Revenue grew 40.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -99.7%. Net debt stands at $17.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1390 (bear case) to $0.2626 (bull case); at $0.1950, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at 8%, ZBAO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2200 $0.3300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2200 $0.3300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $337M
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.7%
Net margin -19.5%
Return on equity -99.7%
Free cash flow −$20.5M FY2025
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3000
Net debt $17.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhibao Technology Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital insurance brokerage services in the People's Republic of China. The company also offers managing general underwriter services.

Full company description

Zhibao Technology Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital insurance brokerage services in the People's Republic of China. The company also offers managing general underwriter services. In addition, it provides insurance product design and customization, selection of insurance companies, technology system interconnection and delivery, customer AARRR (Acquisition, Activation, Retention, Referral, and Revenue) operation, customer service, compliance management, and data analysis. Further, the company operates a digital insurance brokerage platform that offers a portfolio of 2B2C (to-business-to-customer) insurance tools for building the systems required for various insurance solutions. Additionally, it engages in research and development; offline insurance brokerage consulting; and healthcare services. The company serves the travel, outdoor activity, sports, logistics and supply chain, municipal gas and electricity utilities, and e-commerce industries. Zhibao Technology Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhibao Technology Inc reported revenue of $277M in FY2025 versus $108M in FY2021, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$62.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$277M
Latest YoY
+50.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.4%
Revenue +26.5%/yr
FY21 $108M
FY22 $142M
FY23 $184M
FY24 $184M
FY25 $277M
Net income
FY21 $14.3M
FY22 −$43.1M
FY23 $13.3M
FY24 $13.3M
FY25 −$62.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhibao Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZBAO

Peer Group

Insurance Brokers · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance Brokers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 44 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 66
PAST 0 · sector 60
HEALTH 0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance Brokers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc MRSH $182.18 $112.25 -38%
Aon plc AON $367.21 $224.91 -39%
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co AJG $253.09 $75.58 -70%
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited WTW $285.12 $220.92 -23%
Brown & Brown, Inc BRO $67.66 $40.43 -40%
Erie Indemnity Company ERIE $227.31 $157.43 -31%
PB Fintech Limited POLICYBZR ₹1,574 ₹188.49 -88%
Neptune Insurance Holdings NP $31.03 $3.52 -89%
CorVel Corporation CRVL $62.29 $47.59 -24%
Accelerant Holdings ARX $13.52 $18.06 +34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhibao Technology Inc (ZBAO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2103 versus a price of $0.1950, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ZBAO?
Our model-based fair value for Zhibao Technology Inc is $0.2103 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1950.
What is the quality score of ZBAO?
Zhibao Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhibao Technology Inc (ZBAO)?
Zhibao Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $337M (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZBAO?
The net profit margin of Zhibao Technology Inc is about -19.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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