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ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of ZTE Corporation $3.07, price $2.48, upside +23.8%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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ZC
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
ZTE Corporation
ZTCOF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $3.07 · Undervalued (+23.8%)
!Quality 42/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓16.6% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 32/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9868 – $5.45 · fair‑value band $1.84 – $4.78 · the $2.48 price screens below the $3.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
ZTE Corporation provides integrated information and communication technology solutions in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Africa, Europe, America, and Oceania. It operates through three segments: Carriers' Networks, Consumer Business, and Government and Corporate Business.
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ZTE Corporation provides integrated information and communication technology solutions in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Africa, Europe, America, and Oceania. It operates through three segments: Carriers' Networks, Consumer Business, and Government and Corporate Business. The Carriers' Networks segment provides wireless and wireline access, bearer systems, core networks, server and storage, and other technologies and product solutions. The Consumer Business segment focuses on the development, production, and sale of home information terminals, smart phones, mobile internet terminals, and fusion terminals, as well as provides related software application and value added services. The Government and Corporate Business segment offers informatization solutions for the government and corporations through the application of products, including communications networks, IoT, big data, and cloud computing. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) currently trades at $2.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.07, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.68 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $2.48 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.27, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.84 (bear) to $4.78 (bull), the price of $2.48 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ZTE Corporation reported revenue of 130B CNY in FY2025 versus 115B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $22.6B · P/E ratio 27.1 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 24%, ZTCOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.84
Fair Value $3.07
Bull $4.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.29
$2.77
$5.30
76
Residual Income
$1.91
$2.02
$2.23
76
Growth DCF
$1.28
$2.65
$4.95
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.29
$2.77
$5.30
76
Owner Earnings
$2.99
$5.79
$10.59
73
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.5700
$1.27
$2.18
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.99
$4.15
$6.86
72
5Y P/E Exit
$2.21
$4.60
$7.33
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7700
$1.51
$2.57
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.73
$3.61
$6.45
65
10Y P/E Exit
$1.88
$3.93
$6.84
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.15
$5.11
$7.00
64
Lynch FV
$1.33
$1.90
$2.47
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.33
$1.90
$2.47
57
EPV
$0.0700
$0.1800
$0.2800
69
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.8100
$1.69
$2.68
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.8100
$1.43
$1.78
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$3.54
$4.72
$5.90
63
P/S Multiple
$2.15
$2.87
$3.58
58
P/B Multiple
$2.15
$2.87
$3.58
55
EV/EBIT
$1.07
$1.63
$2.19
65
EV/EBITDA
$2.58
$3.64
$4.70
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2400
$0.6000
$0.9700
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.16
$1.56
$2.33
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.28
$2.65
$4.95
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.5700
$1.27
$2.16
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.91
$2.02
$2.23
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.0700
$0.1800
$0.2800
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$2.58
$3.68
$4.78
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
42/100
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Profitability
32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.8% vs 4.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.0% a year for the price and +7.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+16.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+8.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.6%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $107.63 | $118.39 | +10% |
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| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥895.86 | ¥342.18 | −62% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥435.00 | ¥289.12 | −34% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $445.97 | $249.04 | −44% |
| Nokia Oyj NOKIA | €9.19 | €3.15 | −66% |
| Ciena Corporation CIEN | $356.91 | $48.70 | −86% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥267.93 | ¥87.34 | −67% |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $609.64 | $670.60 | +10% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 | HK$186.50 | HK$32.66 | −82% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.07 versus a price of $2.48, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZTCOF?
Our model-based fair value for ZTE Corporation is $3.07 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.48.
What is the quality score of ZTCOF?
ZTE Corporation has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.07 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $4.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ZTE Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.07, about +24% upside versus a price of $2.48 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $4.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
ZTE Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 136B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ZTE Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +20.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ZTCOF use?
Our models discount ZTE Corporation at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ZTE Corporation that is +20.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ZTE Corporation grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies +20.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ZTE Corporation (+20.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.45 %: that much free cash flow ZTE Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ZTE Corporation it is $3.07 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $2.48. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ZTE Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, ZTCOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.48, fair value $3.07, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZTCOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.07). For ZTE Corporation the two are $0.5900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ZTE Corporation worth?
The market values ZTE Corporation at about $22.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.48; our models calculate a fair value of $3.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZTCOF?
Our models span a range for ZTE Corporation: cautious scenario $1.84, base $3.07, optimistic $4.78 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $2.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is ZTCOF from its 52-week high?
ZTE Corporation trades at $2.48, about 54% below its 52-week high of $5.45 and 1% above the low of $2.46 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ZTE Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ZTE Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $2.48, calculated fair value $3.07 (+24%), Quality Score 42/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZTCOF calculated?
We run ZTE Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ZTE Corporation currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.48. Our model-based fair value is $3.07, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ZTE Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($1.84 to $4.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) come from?
Earnings per share at ZTE Corporation grew +9.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.5 %, EBIT margin +42.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −26.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ZTE Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The market capitalisation of ZTE Corporation is $22.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of ZTE Corporation is 27.1 (as of Jun 26, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ZTE Corporation is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
Earnings per share at ZTE Corporation are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The net margin of ZTE Corporation is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ZTE Corporation is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ZTE Corporation is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
The operating margin of ZTE Corporation is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
Revenue at ZTE Corporation is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF)?
Earnings per share at ZTE Corporation are growing −47.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ZTE Corporation (ZTCOF) carry?
The net debt of ZTE Corporation is 46.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 23.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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