ZWACK Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HU · Market cap 74.0B HUF
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −2.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (21,143 HUF to 39,219 HUF) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11,602 HUF – 38,600 HUF · fair‑value band 21,143 HUF – 39,219 HUF · the 37,500 HUF price screens above the 31,759 HUF fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
ZWACK (ZWACK) currently trades at 37,500 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31,759 HUF, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ZWACK generated revenue of 24.6B HUF at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 21,143 HUF (bear case) to 39,219 HUF (bull case); at 37,500 HUF, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -15%, ZWACK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (29,480 HUF) versus Asset-Based (3,064 HUF). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when ZWACK reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zwack Unicum Likoripari és Kereskedelmi Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság manufactures, distributes, and sells alcoholic beverages in Hungary, Europe, and internationally. It offers its products under the Unicum, Whistler, William, St.
Full company description
Zwack Unicum Likoripari és Kereskedelmi Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság manufactures, distributes, and sells alcoholic beverages in Hungary, Europe, and internationally. It offers its products under the Unicum, Whistler, William, St. Hubertus, KALINKA, CHAIN BRIDGE, Kosher, Famous, PUERTO RICO, and Zwack Izabella Wine Shop; and distributes various international brands, including BAILEYS, BLACK VELVET, BULLEIT, CAOL ILA, CAPTAIN MORGAN, CIROC, KETEL ONE, EVIAN, GORDON'S, DON JULIO, JOHNIE WALKER, THE SINGLETON, SMIRNOFF, TALISKER, TANQUERAY, and ron ZACAPA. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Budapest, Hungary. Zwack Unicum Likoripari és Kereskedelmi Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság operates as a subsidiary of Peter Zwack & Consorten HAG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ZWACK reported revenue of 24.4B HUF in FY2026 versus 17.7B HUF in FY2022, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B HUF in FY2026, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2022.
ZWACK screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
Compare ZWACK with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is ZWACK overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ZWACK?
What is the quality score of ZWACK?
What is the revenue of ZWACK?
What is the net profit margin of ZWACK?
Does ZWACK pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track ZWACK and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.