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CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CNPC Capital Co Ltd stock ¥6.25, price ¥6.60, that is 5.3% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CN · ISIN CNE000000MS3

CC CNPC Capital Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

CNPC Capital Co Ltd

000617 · SHE
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin (TTM)
0.7% dividend yield · Low payout
Fair value ¥6.25 · Fairly valued (−5.3%)
Quality 40/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr in CNY)
Moderate moat 57/100 · thin data
Revenue last quarter 13% below a year ago.
Trails peers (5/13)
Thin data
⚠ Small free float

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Fintech rivals erode supply-chain finance margins🚩Stricter rules for financial holding companies
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥12.91 ¥4.04 Fair Value ¥6.25 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.04 – ¥12.91 · fair‑value band ¥5.16 – ¥8.23 · the ¥6.60 price screens above the ¥6.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

CNPC Capital Company Limited provides financial services in China and internationally.

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It provides savings deposits, personal loans, bank cards, investment and wealth management, and credit cards; deposit settlement, traditional financing, investment banking, supply chain financing, and corporate credit; and international settlement, international trade finance, and foreign exchange business.

The company also offers payment and collection, internal transfer settlement, bill acceptance and discounting; financial leasing, operating leasing and sale-leaseback; and asset servicing trust, asset management trust, and charitable trust.

In addition, it provides property loss insurance, liability insurance, credit insurance, guarantee insurance, short-term health insurance, accident insurance, and reinsurance services, as well as life and investment-linked insurances, and group employee benefit plans.

Further, the company engages in insurance brokerage, insurance loss assessment, and risk consulting; provision of risk reduction, claims investigation and inspection, loss assessment and settlement, residual value processing, marine claims settlement, and claims consulting; and corporate credit enhancement, credit product creation and trading, and asset investment.

Additionally, it offers securities brokerage; securities investment consulting; financial advisory services related to securities trading and investment activities; securities underwriting and sponsorship; proprietary securities trading; securities asset management; margin trading; distribution of mutual funds and financial products; and management of publicly offered mutual funds, as well as services to futures companies.

The company was formerly known as Jinan Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CNPC Capital Company Limited in February 2017. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Beijing, China. CNPC Capital Company Limited is a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation.

Stock analysis

CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) currently trades at ¥6.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.25, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.6%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.59 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥6.60 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.42, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥5.16 (bear) to ¥8.23 (bull), the price of ¥6.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CNPC Capital Co Ltd reported revenue of 33.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 31.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 83.4B CNY (≈ $12.5B) Large · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 2.69 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3900 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 16.3% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −5%, 000617 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.16 Fair Value ¥6.25 Bull ¥8.23
Price ¥6.60 · Downside -5.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2913 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥6.28 ¥6.25 ¥6.50 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.9500 ¥1.69 ¥2.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9500 ¥1.42 ¥1.96 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9500 ¥1.69 ¥2.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9500 ¥1.42 ¥1.96 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.36 ¥7.14 ¥8.93 63
P/B Multiple ¥4.95 ¥6.59 ¥8.24 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.11 ¥5.51 ¥8.23 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.28 ¥6.25 ¥6.50 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 10
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 88
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Per share before 2007divided by the spin-off factor 1.28
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.2% vs −26.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.56% → 35%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Note from the team Oct 21, 2026
AI conclusion: Moderate or weaker moat with negative cash flows and elevated debt as main weaknesses, while tighter cost control supports stronger half-year profits as key strength.
Main risk: Rivals such as Ant Group and WeBank could capture supply-chain finance clients from CNPC Capital through digital platforms, squeezing its prices and margins in banking and leasing operations.
Bull case: By accelerating its digital upgrades and AI-driven credit models, CNPC Capital could defend its energy-sector niche and even attract external clients through superior risk tools.
Bear case: If fintech platforms and other state financiers gain ground, CNPC Capital might lose significant volumes in supply-chain and leasing finance, narrowing its revenue base over time.
CNPC Capital delivered stronger half-year profits through tighter cost control even as revenue slipped from reduced interest income in its banking operations. As a financial services provider tied to the energy sector it now stresses digital upgrades and risk discipline amid persistently low rates. Will these efficiency efforts keep earnings on an upward path or will revenue headwinds dominate going forward?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Conglomerates · 49 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −5.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 34.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 76.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −13.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 16.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 5.69× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)26 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 71
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV ₹1,835 ₹796.21 −57% vs 000617
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CNPC Capital Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CNPC Capital Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000617

Frequently asked questions

Is CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.25 versus a price of ¥6.60, about 5% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000617?
Our model-based fair value for CNPC Capital Co Ltd is ¥6.25 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.60.
What is the quality score of 000617?
CNPC Capital Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.25 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.16, optimistic scenario ¥8.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CNPC Capital Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.25, about 5% lower versus a price of ¥6.60 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥5.16, optimistic scenario ¥8.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
CNPC Capital Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does CNPC Capital Co Ltd pay a dividend?
CNPC Capital Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CNPC Capital Co Ltd it is ¥6.25 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥6.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CNPC Capital Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 000617 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.60, fair value ¥6.25, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000617?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.25). For CNPC Capital Co Ltd the two are ¥0.3500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CNPC Capital Co Ltd worth?
The market values CNPC Capital Co Ltd at about 83.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000617?
Our models span a range for CNPC Capital Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.16, base ¥6.25, optimistic ¥8.23 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥6.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000617?
CNPC Capital Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.25 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 13.9. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 5.7, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Balance-sheet figures for CNPC Capital Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000617 from its 52-week high?
CNPC Capital Co Ltd trades at ¥6.60, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥11.46 and 6% above the low of ¥6.22 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CNPC Capital Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value ORIX Corporation, Bajaj Finserv Ltd, China Galaxy Securities Co, Guosen Securities Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CNPC Capital Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥6.60, calculated fair value ¥6.25 (−5%), Quality Score 40/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000617 calculated?
We run CNPC Capital Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. CNPC Capital Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥6.60. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.25, about 5% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CNPC Capital Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of CNPC Capital Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The market capitalisation of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 83.4B CNY (≈ $12.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 2.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Earnings per share at CNPC Capital Co Ltd are ¥0.3900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The dividend yield of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 0.7% (payout 12.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The net margin of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 16.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
The operating margin of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 76.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Revenue at CNPC Capital Co Ltd is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617)?
Earnings per share at CNPC Capital Co Ltd are growing +37.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) generate?
The free cash flow of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is −19.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) carry?
The net debt of CNPC Capital Co Ltd is 85.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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