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Braze Inc (BRZE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Braze Inc stock $16.06, price $46.08, that is 65.1% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

BI Braze Inc logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Braze Inc

BRZE · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 65% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow
Positive coverage
Revenue last quarter +26% vs. a year ago.
Quality 46/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +37.5 %/yr in USD)
Insiders sold $22.5M (6M)
Fair value $16.06 · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -13.6% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$94.16 $15.79 Fair Value $16.06 Nov 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.79 – $94.16 · fair‑value band $8.59 – $21.67 · the $46.08 price screens above the $16.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Braze, Inc. operates a customer engagement platform that provides interactions between consumers and brands worldwide.

Show moreShow less

It offers Braze software development kits that automatically manage data ingestion and deliver mobile and web notifications, in-application/in-browser interstitial messages, and content cards; REST API to import or export data or to trigger workflows between Braze and brands' existing technology stacks; Partner Data Integrations, that allow brands to sync user cohorts from partners; Data Transformation, in which brands can programmatically sync and transform user data; Braze Cloud Data Ingestion that offers direct connections to cloud services and data warehouses, marketing, product, and growth teams; Braze Currents to stream data in real time; and Snowflake Data Sharing to track and store data.

It also provides segmentation that define reusable segments of consumers based upon attributes, events, or predictive propensity scores; segment insights, which allows customers to analyze how segments are performing relative to each other across a set of pre-selected key performance indicators; and predictive suite that allows customers to identify groups of consumers that are of critical business value.

In addition, the company offers Canvas, an orchestration tool; campaigns, which allows customers; event and API triggering; marketing pressure management; and reporting and analytics, as well as content generation and quality assurance platform, content management, catalogs, templating language, connected content, and intelligent timing and channel products.

Further, it provides decisioning studio; agent console; liquid assistant and AI copywriter; personalized variant; AI item recommendations; and MCP Servers. The company was formerly known as Appboy, Inc. and changed its name to Braze, Inc. in November 2017.

Braze, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Braze Inc (BRZE) currently trades at $46.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.06, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $16.19 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $46.08 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $7.45, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $8.59 (bear) to $21.67 (bull), the price of $46.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Braze Inc reported revenue of $738M in FY2026 versus $238M in FY2022, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$131M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $5.0B Mid · P/S ratio 6.25 · EPS (TTM) $−1.03 · Net margin −13.6% · Return on equity −18.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8.0% · Revenue (TTM) $834M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −65%, BRZE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.59 Fair Value $16.06 Bull $21.67
Price $46.08 · Downside -65.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $10.82 $16.06 $32.39 74
Growth DCF $10.23 $18.46 $31.72 73
5Y Revenue Exit $7.80 $12.29 $21.67 68
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.82 $16.06 $32.39 74
5Y Revenue Exit $7.80 $12.29 $21.67 68
10Y Revenue Exit $8.59 $16.59 $21.37 64
Multiples
EV/Revenue $5.32 $7.45 $9.57 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4500 $0.6900 $0.8600 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.23 $18.46 $31.72 73
Rev-Margin DCF $8.32 $13.91 $25.32 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 58
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 80
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 53
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 34
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 82
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 100
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 30
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $22.5M and none bought.

  • SaleJonathan HymanChief Technology Officer10× since Nov 18, 2025: 490,404 shares, avg. $39.06$19.2MOct 29, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleEdward M. McDonnellChief Revenue Officer29,732 shares at $31.38$932,927Aug 24, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleAstha MalikChief Business Officer5× since Nov 18, 2025: 129,191 shares, avg. $26.10$3.4MAug 19, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleSusan WisemanGeneral Counsel3× since Nov 18, 2025: 54,860 shares, avg. $20.91$1.1MApr 9, 2026
  • SaleIsabelle WinklesChief Financial Officer3× since Nov 18, 2025: 33,228 shares, avg. $22.15$735,956Apr 6, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleWilliam MagnusonChief Executive Officer, Director2× since Nov 18, 2025: 53,111 shares, avg. $21.81$1.2MFeb 18, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SalePankaj MalikChief Accounting Officer3× since Nov 18, 2025: 12,077 shares, avg. $28.50$344,165Feb 18, 2026

Plus 21 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 9, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.4% (2021) → −19.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.0% a year for the price and +13.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+23.6%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+17.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+15.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+13.3%
Projected 2031 (sales)+11.4%

BRZE screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Positive cash flow and zero debt form the main strength, while ongoing losses, negative returns and thin evidence across categories remain the central weakness.
Main risk: Execution risks around adoption and differentiation of the new AI tools would hit value capture from AI-driven marketing and accelerate sector commoditization.
Braze is pushing its platform further into automated decisioning at the individual customer level with new AI tools launched at Forge and a deeper AWS integration for generative capabilities. This builds on its core strength in handling large-scale, real-time engagement but raises execution risks around adoption and differentiation. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will these additions let Braze capture more value from AI-driven marketing or mainly speed up commoditization across the sector?
Join the discussion →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 624 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −13.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −8.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.97× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.96× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 80.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.33× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $237.32 $463.72 +95% vs BRZE
Salesforce, Inc CRM $214.94 $342.73 +59% vs BRZE
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $71.17 $101.28 +42% vs BRZE
Intuit Inc INTU $338.23 $459.14 +36% vs BRZE
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $102.76 $112.17 +9% vs BRZE
SAP SE SAP €211.65 €173.59 −18% vs BRZE
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $336.53 $225.48 −33% vs BRZE
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $302.06 $150.40 −50% vs BRZE
Shopify Inc SHOP $152.06 $64.96 −57% vs BRZE
Snowflake Inc SNOW $291.14 $73.81 −75% vs BRZE

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Braze Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Braze Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRZE

Frequently asked questions

Is Braze Inc (BRZE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.06 versus a price of $46.08, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRZE?
Our model-based fair value for Braze Inc is $16.06 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $46.08.
What is the quality score of BRZE?
Braze Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.06 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.59, optimistic scenario $21.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Braze Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.06, about 65% lower versus a price of $46.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.59, optimistic scenario $21.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Braze Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $834M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into Braze Inc (BRZE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Braze Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +34.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +37.5 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BRZE use?
Our models discount Braze Inc at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Braze Inc that is +34.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Braze Inc (BRZE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Braze Inc grew +37.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +34.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Braze Inc (BRZE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Braze Inc (+34.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.24 %: that much free cash flow Braze Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Braze Inc it is $16.06 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $46.08. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Braze Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, BRZE trades above its calculated fair value: price $46.08, fair value $16.06, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRZE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($46.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.06). For Braze Inc the two are $30.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Braze Inc worth?
The market values Braze Inc at about $5.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $46.08; our models calculate a fair value of $16.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRZE?
Our models span a range for Braze Inc: cautious scenario $8.59, base $16.06, optimistic $21.67 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $46.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BRZE?
The PEG ratio of Braze Inc is 1.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Braze Inc (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −18.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRZE from its 52-week high?
Braze Inc trades at $46.08, at its 52-week high of $46.10 and 192% above the low of $15.79 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Braze Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Braze Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $46.08, calculated fair value $16.06 (−65%), Quality Score 46/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRZE calculated?
We run Braze Inc through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $16.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Braze Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was $46.08. Our model-based fair value is $16.06, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Braze Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($8.59 to $21.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Braze Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The market capitalisation of Braze Inc is $5.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Braze Inc is 6.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Earnings per share at Braze Inc are $−1.03. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The net margin of Braze Inc is −13.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Braze Inc is −18.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Braze Inc is −15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Braze Inc (BRZE)?
The operating margin of Braze Inc is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Braze Inc (BRZE)?
Revenue at Braze Inc is growing +26.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Braze Inc (BRZE) hold?
Braze Inc holds more cash than debt, $41.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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