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Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP stock €5.10, price €21.20, that is 75.9% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

15 models, one by oneBear €3.60 to bull €9.83 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 29/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials DE · ISIN DE000A0S8488

Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP

HHFA · XETRA

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 76% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr in EUR)

Loss over the last twelve months · -0.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.6%

Moderate debt

Fair value €5.10 · Strongly overvalued (−75.9%)

Quality 29/100

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (1/13)

Narrow moat 23/100 · thin data

Thin data

Extreme value⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution⚠ Small free float

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Volume shortfalls amid automation transition

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €9.87 – €23.30 · fair‑value band €3.60 – €9.83 · the €21.20 price screens above the €5.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate.

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The company handles loading, discharging, and transshipping containers to other carriers, including rail, truck, feeder, or inland waterway ships; operates container terminals; and offers container maintenance and repair services.

It also provides transportation and terminal networks for containers in seaport-hinterland traffic; various maritime and continental logistics; and transports containers by road, both locally and over long-haul distances.

In addition, the company engages in the operation of handling facilities for dry bulk, motor vehicles, and fruit; consultancy and management services; and process automation, digital, and leasing services.

Further, it is involved in district/project development, letting, and commercial and technical management of properties. The company was formerly known as Hamburger Hafen- und Lagerhaus-AG and changed its name to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik in January 2005.

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company operated as a subsidiary of HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH. The company operates as a subsidiary of Port of Hamburg Beteiligungsgesellschaft SE.

Stock analysis

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA) currently trades at €21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.10, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €4.98 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the €21.20 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.6950, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €3.60 (bear) to €9.83 (bull), the price of €21.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was €9.8M in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €2.4B Mid · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) €−0.1800 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −76%, HHFA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€0.6200 to €20.51). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.

Bear €3.60 Fair Value €5.10 Bull €9.83

Price €21.20 · Downside -75.9%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income €6.50 €6.72 €7.25 76

EPV €0.6700 €1.22 €1.70 70

ROIC Compounder €0.6700 €1.22 €1.70 69

All 15 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd €0.9200 €2.33 €3.03 65

PEG = 1.0 €0.4300 €0.6200 €0.8100 57

EPV €0.6700 €1.22 €1.70 70

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM €0.4200 €0.7700 €1.23 66

DDM Multi-Stage €0.4200 €0.6200 €0.8300 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple €2.12 €2.83 €3.53 63

P/S Multiple €1.72 €2.29 €2.86 57

P/B Multiple €15.38 €20.51 €25.64 55

EV/EBIT €2.83 €5.85 €8.87 61

EV/EBITDA €7.99 €12.73 €17.48 65

EV/Revenue €0.2300 €3.00 €5.78 46

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) €3.72 €4.98 €7.43 53

Economic Profit

Residual Income €6.50 €6.72 €7.25 76

ROIC Compounder €0.6700 €1.22 €1.70 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E €1.64 €2.35 €3.05 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 54

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 40

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 22

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 54

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 100

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 40

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 22

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 0

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+9.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.6%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year

Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

−3.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−3.9%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.2% vs −17.8%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

HHFA screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026

AI conclusion: Automation and 5G upgrades at Hamburg terminals target higher long-term productivity in container handling, yet low net margins, negative free cash flow and high leverage leave little sign of a durable moat.

Main risk: Ongoing adaptation to automated systems risks extending volume shortfalls that would further erode thin margins and cash flow.

HHLA is accelerating automation and tech upgrades such as 5G at its Hamburg terminals to raise long-term productivity in container handling. These efforts have however coincided with volume shortfalls and a lowered 2026 earnings outlook as operations adapt. Will the efficiency improvements ultimately strengthen its position in marine shipping, or will the transition costs and disruptions weigh more heavily on results?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −75.9% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Return on assets 0.9% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −2.5% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (12 months) 4.5% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 2.5% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.11× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.08× · Priciest 25%

P/S (12 months) 4.36× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 37.5× · Priciest 25%

PEG 1.32× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 44

FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 60

PAST (return on equity)1 · sector 36

HEALTH (low debt)45 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144	HK$16.68	HK$28.60	+71%	vs HHFA
HMM Co 011200	22,050 KRW	30,253 KRW	+37%	vs HHFA
Qingdao Port International Co 601298	¥9.75	¥12.84	+32%	vs HHFA
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018	¥3.56	¥4.35	+22%	vs HHFA
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018	¥5.68	¥6.41	+13%	vs HHFA
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919	¥17.47	¥18.42	+5%	vs HHFA
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG	€127.50	€108.70	−15%	vs HHFA
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615	107.50 TWD	67.03 TWD	−38%	vs HHFA
SITC International Holdings 1308	HK$45.80	HK$27.22	−41%	vs HHFA
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS	₹1,937	₹1,051	−46%	vs HHFA

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.10 versus a price of €21.20, about 76% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of HHFA?

Our model-based fair value for Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is €5.10 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €21.20.

What is the quality score of HHFA?

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.10 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.60, optimistic scenario €9.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at €5.10, about 76% lower versus a price of €21.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.60, optimistic scenario €9.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).

Does Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP pay a dividend?

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP currently shows a dividend yield of 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP has a dividend yield of 0.7%.

What is the intrinsic value of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP it is €5.10 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €21.20. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 7, 2026, HHFA trades above its calculated fair value: price €21.20, fair value €5.10, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of HHFA?

No. The price is what the market pays today (€21.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.10). For Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP the two are €16.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP worth?

The market values Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP at about €2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €21.20; our models calculate a fair value of €5.10 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HHFA?

Our models span a range for Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP: cautious scenario €3.60, base €5.10, optimistic €9.83 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €21.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of HHFA?

The PEG ratio of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 1.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Balance-sheet figures for Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is HHFA from its 52-week high?

Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP trades at €21.20, about 9% below its 52-week high of €23.30 and 2% above the low of €20.80 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.10 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €21.20, calculated fair value €5.10 (−76%), Quality Score 29/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of HHFA calculated?

We run Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €5.10 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €21.20. Our model-based fair value is €5.10, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€9.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (€3.60 to €9.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP

How large is the market capitalisation of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The market capitalisation of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is €2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 0.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Earnings per share at Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP are €−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The dividend yield of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The net margin of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is −0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

The operating margin of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Revenue at Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA)?

Earnings per share at Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP are growing −90.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA) generate?

The free cash flow of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is −€73.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP (HHFA) carry?

The net debt of Hamburger Hafen Und Logistik A-SP is €1.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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