Cloudflare Inc (NET) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cloudflare Inc stock $16.34, price $269, that is 93.9% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Cloudflare Inc
NET · USOur calculation puts a fair price 94% below what the stock costs today.
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What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.84 – $360.93 · fair‑value band $8.39 – $31.16 · the $268.75 price screens above the $16.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Cloudflare, Inc. operates as a cloud services provider that delivers a range of services to businesses worldwide.
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The company provides a cloud-based security solution to secure a range of combination of platforms, including public and private cloud, on-premises, software-as-a-service applications, and Internet of things (IoT) devices; and application security products comprising web application firewall, bot management, distributed denial of service mitigation, API security, SSL/TLS encryption, client-side security, and security center products.
It also offers application performance solutions, such as content delivery, load balancing, DNS, smart shield, video stream delivery, web optimization, cloudfare waiting room, and cloudfare data localization suite; SASE platform that combines network services and Zero Trust and workplace security products that provides a cloud-based network and security-as-a-service; network services, including magic WAN, magic transit, magic firewall, cloudflare network interconnect, and spectrum.
In addition, the company provides zero trust security services which include cloudflare zero trust network access, secure web gateway, and one client; and remote browser isolation, cloud access security broker, cloud email security, digital experience monitoring, and data loss prevention products.
Further, it provides developer-based solutions comprising workers AI, vectorize, AI gateway, cloudflare workers, cloudflare pages, R2 object storage, workers KV, durable objects, D1, hyperdrive, queues, cloudfare stream, cloudfare images, and cloudflare realtime; and consumer offerings, such as 1.1.1.1 DNS and with WARPm and cloudfare registrar that offers secure registration and management of domain names.
The company serves customers in technology, healthcare, financial services, consumer and retail, industrial, and non-profit industries, as well as government. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Cloudflare Inc (NET) currently trades at $268.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.34, 94% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $21.03 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $268.75 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.49, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $8.39 (bear) to $31.16 (bull), the price of $268.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cloudflare Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $656M in FY2021, a compound +34.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$102M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $95.2B Large · P/S ratio 35.2 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6700 · Net margin −8.8% · Return on equity −17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −7.3% · Revenue (TTM) $2.7B.
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −94%, NET screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 9 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 9 officers or directors sold shares worth $362.2M and none bought.
- SaleCarl LedbetterDirector14× since Nov 17, 2025: 130,000 shares, avg. $236.88$30.8MOct 19, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleThomas J SeifertChief Financial Officer13× since Nov 20, 2025: 240,953 shares, avg. $238.61$57.5MOct 19, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMichelle ZatlynPresident and Board Co-Chair, Director12× since Nov 20, 2025: 1,039,811 shares, avg. $237.73$247.2MOct 7, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJanel RileyChief Accounting Officer5× since Nov 18, 2025: 42,942 shares, avg. $204.38$8.8MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleAlissa Michelle StarzakChief Legal Officer2× since May 28, 2026: 22,114 shares, avg. $240.48$5.3MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJohn Graham-CummingDirector9× since Dec 15, 2025: 23,804 shares, avg. $217.29$5.2MAug 10, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMatthew PrinceCEO & Board Co-Chair, Director, 10% owner17× since Nov 17, 2025: 1,571,553 shares, avg. $216.08$339.6MAug 5, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMark J HawkinsDirector9× since Dec 1, 2025: 1,200 shares, avg. $215.02$258,026Aug 3, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleKatrin SuderDirector3× since Nov 19, 2025: 4,355 shares, avg. $201.87$879,153Jun 8, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleDouglas James KramerCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER3× since Dec 1, 2025: 15,000 shares, avg. $193.73$2.9MFeb 2, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 44 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
NET screens overvalued: fair value 94% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
- Cloudflare (NET) Stock Looks Overvalued Following Its 326% Three Year Run
- Cloudflare (NET) Stock Jumps After Q3 Earnings Expose Loss Pressure
- Cloudflare earnings analysis: questions answered and next catalysts
- Cloudflare Stocks Surge 10.9% After 39% Revenue Jump and Fresh Guidance
Compare Cloudflare Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 345 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Quality Score by industry
- Return on equity by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $118.84 | $134.76 | +13% | vs NET |
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $530.61 | $583.67 | +10% | vs NET |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $116.10 | $111.97 | −4% | vs NET |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $169.19 | $156.80 | −7% | vs NET |
| Block, Inc XYZ | $85.48 | $76.43 | −11% | vs NET |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $450.46 | $288.23 | −36% | vs NET |
| Zscaler, Inc ZS | $197.66 | $101.45 | −49% | vs NET |
| Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR | $160.38 | $42.20 | −74% | vs NET |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $216.90 | $37.97 | −82% | vs NET |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW | $313.84 | $39.54 | −87% | vs NET |
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Key figures of Cloudflare Inc
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