Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Open House Group Co., Ltd. stock $53.73, price $37.85, upside +42.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range $32.93 – $37.85 · fair‑value band $38.69 – $100.42 · the $37.85 price screens below the $53.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Open House Group Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate businesses. It provides real estate sales and purchase agency/brokerage services. The company also sells newly built detached houses; and develops condominiums.
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In addition, it engages in the real estate investment and finance businesses; and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Open House Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Open House Group Co., Ltd. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) currently trades at $37.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.73, implying the stock looks roughly 30% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $120.41 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the $37.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $21.21, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $38.69 (bear) to $100.42 (bull), the price of $37.85 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Open House Group Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥1.3T in FY2025 versus ¥811B in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101B in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.2B Mid · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) $5.00 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 20.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −54% fair-value upside, at 42%, OPPPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$38.69Fair Value $53.73Bull$100.42
Price $37.85 · Upside +42.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.77 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.2% a year for the price and +5.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (2 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Decent returns on equity from solid single-family home demand form the main strength while high leverage in a commoditized sector limits overall durable advantage.
Main risk: High leverage threatens to constrain financial flexibility in real estate operations and single-family home developments amid sector commoditization.
Open House Group delivered record sales and profits in fiscal 2026 on solid single-family home demand yet guided only modest operating profit growth for the year ahead. It simultaneously launched a share buyback program of up to 25 billion yen. Our models see it as undervalued. Does the repurchase mainly return capital while growth slows or does it free resources for new opportunities in its diversified real estate operations?
Compare Open House Group Co., Ltd. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+42.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)20.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)13.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.85× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Open House Group Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPPPF
Frequently asked questions
Is Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.73 versus the last price from Nov 3, 2026 of $37.85, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OPPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Open House Group Co., Ltd. is $53.73 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Nov 3, 2026): $37.85.
What is the quality score of OPPPF?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $53.73 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $38.69, optimistic scenario $100.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Open House Group Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $53.73, about +42% upside versus the last price from Nov 3, 2026 of $37.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $38.69, optimistic scenario $100.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.5T (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Open House Group Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.24% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of $1.23 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 21.2% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.21 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Open House Group Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +17.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.3 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OPPPF use?
Our models discount Open House Group Co., Ltd. at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Open House Group Co., Ltd. that is +17.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Open House Group Co., Ltd. grew +18.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +17.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Open House Group Co., Ltd. (+17.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.88 %: that much free cash flow Open House Group Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Open House Group Co., Ltd. it is $53.73 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $37.85. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Open House Group Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, OPPPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $37.85, fair value $53.73, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPPPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($37.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($53.73). For Open House Group Co., Ltd. the two are $15.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Open House Group Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Open House Group Co., Ltd. at about $4.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $37.85; our models calculate a fair value of $53.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPPPF?
Our models span a range for Open House Group Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario $38.69, base $53.73, optimistic $100.42 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $37.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OPPPF?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $53.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Open House Group Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 20.6%, debt of 0.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPPPF from its 52-week high?
Open House Group Co., Ltd. trades at $37.85, at its 52-week high of $37.85 and 5% above the low of $36.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $53.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Open House Group Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Open House Group Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $37.85, calculated fair value $53.73 (+42%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPPPF calculated?
We run Open House Group Co., Ltd. through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $53.73 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2% above its aggregate fair value. Open House Group Co., Ltd. currently trades 30% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Nov 3, 2026 and stands at $37.85. Our model-based fair value is $53.73, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Open House Group Co., Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($38.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($38.69 to $100.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Open House Group Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The market capitalisation of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is $4.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 0.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Open House Group Co., Ltd. are $5.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The dividend yield of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 3.2% (payout 24.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The net margin of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 20.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
The operating margin of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Revenue at Open House Group Co., Ltd. is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Open House Group Co., Ltd. are growing +29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Open House Group Co., Ltd. (OPPPF) carry?
The net debt of Open House Group Co., Ltd. is ¥298B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 10, 2026