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Open House Group (OPPPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.2B

OH Open House Group logo Open House Group OPPPF · US
Price$37.85
Fair Value$94.63
Upside+150.0%
Quality61/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.10% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $51.45 – $123.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

A solid business, screening 150% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($51.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($51.45 to $123.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$37.85 $33.60 Fair Value $94.63 Jun 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $33.60 – $37.85 · fair‑value band $51.45 – $123.56 · the $37.85 price screens below the $94.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Open House Group (OPPPF) currently trades at $37.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $94.63, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Open House Group generated revenue of $1.4T at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.1%. Net debt stands at $298B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.45 (bear case) to $123.56 (bull case); at $37.85, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 150%, OPPPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2,572 $4,755 $8,352 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8,653 $17,298 $28,742 74
Residual Income $5,736 $7,579 $26,104 61
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2,620 $5,085 $9,345 38
5Y Revenue Exit $8,653 $17,757 $30,656 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11,268 $23,277 $38,921 41
10Y Revenue Exit $6,138 $14,012 $27,055 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8,254 $18,020 $33,976 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $11,578 $15,437 $19,297 58
P/B Multiple $7,291 $9,721 $12,151 55
EV/EBIT $21,391 $28,631 $35,871 53
EV/EBITDA $16,690 $22,364 $28,037 54
EV/Revenue $11,649 $16,783 $21,917 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2,430 $3,256 $4,860 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2,572 $4,755 $8,352 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8,653 $17,298 $28,742 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5,736 $7,579 $26,104 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($17,757) versus Asset-Based ($3,256). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4T
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.8%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 20.1%
Free cash flow $25.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.1
More key figures
Operating margin 12.3%
EPS (TTM) $4.66
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.4%
Net debt $298B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Open House Group Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate businesses. It provides real estate sales and purchase agency/brokerage services. The company also sells newly built detached houses; and develops condominiums. In addition, it engages in the real estate investment and finance businesses; and other businesses.

Full company description

Open House Group Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate businesses. It provides real estate sales and purchase agency/brokerage services. The company also sells newly built detached houses; and develops condominiums. In addition, it engages in the real estate investment and finance businesses; and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Open House Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Open House Group Co., Ltd. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Open House Group reported revenue of ¥1.3T in FY2025 versus ¥811B in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101B in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3T
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.3%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 ¥811B
FY22 ¥953B
FY23 ¥1.1T
FY24 ¥1.3T
FY25 ¥1.3T
Net income +9.7%/yr
FY21 ¥69.6B
FY22 ¥77.9B
FY23 ¥92.1B
FY24 ¥92.9B
FY25 ¥101B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Open House Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPPPF

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +150% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.85× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 46
FUTURE 49 · sector 33
PAST 81 · sector 17
HEALTH 57 · sector 75
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Open House Group (OPPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $94.63 versus a price of $37.85, about +150% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OPPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Open House Group is $94.63 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $37.85.
What is the quality score of OPPPF?
Open House Group has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Open House Group (OPPPF)?
Open House Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPPPF?
The net profit margin of Open House Group is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Open House Group pay a dividend?
Open House Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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