United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of United Natural Foods Inc stock $29.36, price $45.30, that is 35.2% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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United Natural Foods Inc
UNFI · USOur calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.82 – $55.61 · fair‑value band $21.93 – $44.16 · the $45.30 price screens above the $29.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
United Natural Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of natural, organic, specialty, produce, and conventional grocery and non-food products in the United States and Canada. It operates in three segments: Natural, Wholesale, and Retail.
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The company distributes grocery and general merchandise, perishables, frozen food, wellness and personal care items, bulk and foodservice, home, health and beauty care, pharmacy, pet food, produce, meat, dairy, and organic/non-GMO products under the ESSENTIAL EVERYDAY, SHOPPERS VALUE, WILD HARVEST, Field Day, STONE RIDGE CREAMERY, EQUALINE, CULINARY CIRCLE, and WOODSTOCK brands.
It also engages in the manufacture of natural and organic snack food; importing, roasting, packaging, and distributing of nuts, dried fruit, seeds, trail mixes, granola, natural and organic snack items, and confections under the Woodstock Farms Manufacturing brand; and operation of grocery and liquor stores under the Cub Foods and Shoppers brands.
In addition, the company provides shelf and planogram management, retail store support, pricing strategy, shelf tags, electronic payments and coupon processing, store layout and design, equipment sourcing and procurement, point-of-sale hardware and software, network and data hosting solutions, consumer convenience services, automation tools, sustainability services, and administrative back-office solutions; consumer and trade marketing programs; and programs to support suppliers in understanding its markets.
Further, it offers web and digital marketing services, such as websites, digital coupon and loyalty programs, mobile applications, e-commerce, and circular programs; and various supply chain, digital, and professional services. It serves grocery chains, retailers, and wholesale customers.
United Natural Foods, Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
Stock analysis
United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI) currently trades at $45.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.36, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $103.01 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the $45.30 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.14, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $21.93 (bear) to $44.16 (bull), the price of $45.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
United Natural Foods Inc reported revenue of $31.2B in FY2026 versus $28.9B in FY2022, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $84.0M in FY2026, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B Mid · P/E ratio 33.8 · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $1.34 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −35%, UNFI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $515,600 and none bought.
- SaleMark BushwayPresident, Natural & CSCO10,000 shares at $51.56$515,600Jun 23, 2026
- SaleDanielle BenedictChief Human Resources Officer4,807 shares at $52.00$249,964May 6, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyJames C PappasDirector17,000 shares at $33.71$573,000Jan 5, 2026
- SaleLouis Anthony MartinPresident, Conventional & CCO9,439 shares at $34.67$327,250Dec 22, 2025
- SaleRichard Eric EsperChief Accounting Officer4,261 shares at $33.08$140,954Dec 18, 2025
Plus 34 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
UNFI screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Compare United Natural Foods Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 85 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Net margin by industry
- P/B ratio by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olam Group VC2 | 0.8650 SGD | 2.47 SGD | +186% | vs UNFI |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$3.34 | A$5.33 | +60% | vs UNFI |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €19.33 | €21.69 | +12% | vs UNFI |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.30 THB | 12.98 THB | −9% | vs UNFI |
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $76.86 | $68.94 | −10% | vs UNFI |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $106.67 | $59.95 | −44% | vs UNFI |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $55.12 | $30.87 | −44% | vs UNFI |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.50 | $46.96 | −56% | vs UNFI |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $103.77 | $41.87 | −60% | vs UNFI |
| Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 | 28,400 KRW | 10,739 KRW | −62% | vs UNFI |
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Key figures of United Natural Foods Inc
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