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JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock ¥0.50, price ¥2.75, that is 81.8% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE000000SR2

JJ JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd

000816 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 45/100
Fair value ¥0.5000 · Strongly overvalued (−81.8%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -5.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.21 ¥1.43 Fair Value ¥0.5000 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.43 – ¥5.21 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥0.5800 · the ¥2.75 price screens above the ¥0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd develops and sells power equipment in China.

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The company offers single-cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines, reducer, and casting products; General gasoline engines, power, generator sets, and water pumps; mining products, including zinc, copper, and iron concentrates; garden machinery; and smart hardware equipment and software platforms for agricultural industry, as well as related system design and planning services, including agricultural information services, production management systems, agricultural data applications, and other products and services.

The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Jianghuai Engine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd in June 2015. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Yancheng, China.

Stock analysis

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) currently trades at ¥2.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5000, 82% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.8600 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥2.75 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3500, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.4300 (bear) to ¥0.5800 (bull), the price of ¥2.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −68.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $597M) Small · P/S ratio 2.95 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −5.6% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −82%, 000816 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.4300 Fair Value ¥0.5000 Bull ¥0.5800
Price ¥2.75 · Downside -81.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥0.3400 ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3400 ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 72
EV/EBITDA ¥0.9900 ¥1.25 ¥1.52 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.3400 ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.4300 ¥0.5000 ¥0.5800 66
EV/EBITDA ¥0.9900 ¥1.25 ¥1.52 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.3600 ¥0.4300 ¥0.5000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6500 ¥0.8600 ¥1.29 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3400 ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 88
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 69
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 32
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 21
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000816 screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 147 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 11.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 5.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.08× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 33.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)27 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$34.98 HK$57.21 +64% vs 000816
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.17 ¥9.74 +36% vs 000816
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €40.49 €49.70 +23% vs 000816
PACCAR Inc PCAR $101.98 $114.95 +13% vs 000816
Metso Oyj METSO €16.99 €18.45 +9% vs 000816
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.50 ¥20.84 +7% vs 000816
Traton SE 8TRA €33.78 €32.85 −3% vs 000816
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $11.56 $8.65 −25% vs 000816
Caterpillar Inc CAT $558.63 $283.68 −49% vs 000816
Deere & Company DE $671.65 $263.46 −61% vs 000816

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JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000816

Frequently asked questions

Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5000 versus a price of ¥2.75, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000816?
Our model-based fair value for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is ¥0.5000 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.75.
What is the quality score of 000816?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5000 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5000, about 82% lower versus a price of ¥2.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd pay a dividend?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd it is ¥0.5000 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥2.75. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 000816 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.75, fair value ¥0.5000, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000816?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5000). For JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd the two are ¥2.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd worth?
The market values JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.75; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000816?
Our models span a range for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4300, base ¥0.5000, optimistic ¥0.5800 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥2.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Balance-sheet figures for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000816 from its 52-week high?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd trades at ¥2.75, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥4.26 and 21% above the low of ¥2.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥2.75, calculated fair value ¥0.5000 (−82%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000816 calculated?
We run JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.5000 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7% above its aggregate fair value. JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥2.75. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5000, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The market capitalisation of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 4.0B CNY (≈ $597M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 2.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Earnings per share at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd are ¥−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The dividend yield of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The net margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −5.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The operating margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Revenue at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Earnings per share at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd are growing +12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) generate?
The free cash flow of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −158M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) hold?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 294M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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