Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co. (000816) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.43 – ¥5.21 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥0.5800 · the ¥2.65 price screens above the ¥0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co. (000816) currently trades at ¥2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 81.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co. generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of -5.9%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 294M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4300 (bear case) to ¥0.5800 (bull case); at ¥2.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -81%, 000816 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.9100) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3600). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd develops and sells power equipment in China. The company offers single-cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines, reducer, and casting products; General gasoline engines, power, generator sets, and water pumps; mining products, including zinc, copper, and iron concentrates; garden machinery; and …

Full company description

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd develops and sells power equipment in China. The company offers single-cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines, reducer, and casting products; General gasoline engines, power, generator sets, and water pumps; mining products, including zinc, copper, and iron concentrates; garden machinery; and smart hardware equipment and software platforms for agricultural industry, as well as related system design and planning services, including agricultural information services, production management systems, agricultural data applications, and other products and services. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Jianghuai Engine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd in June 2015. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Yancheng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co. reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥68.5M in FY2025.

000816 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.