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JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd ¥0.50, price ¥3.03, upside -83.5%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000SR2

JJ Thin data Sep 13, 2026

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd

000816 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.5000 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.21 ¥1.43 Fair Value ¥0.5000 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.43 – ¥5.21 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥0.5800 · the ¥3.03 price screens above the ¥0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd develops and sells power equipment in China.

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Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd develops and sells power equipment in China. The company offers single-cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines, reducer, and casting products; General gasoline engines, power, generator sets, and water pumps; mining products, including zinc, copper, and iron concentrates; garden machinery; and smart hardware equipment and software platforms for agricultural industry, as well as related system design and planning services, including agricultural information services, production management systems, agricultural data applications, and other products and services. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Jianghuai Engine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd in June 2015. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Yancheng, China.

Stock analysis

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) currently trades at ¥3.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 506.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9100 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥3.03 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3600, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.4300 (bear) to ¥0.5800 (bull), the price of ¥3.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −68.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $655M) · P/S ratio 2.85 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −5.5% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −7.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −84%, 000816 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.4300 Fair Value ¥0.5000 Bull ¥0.5800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 ¥0.3700 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 ¥0.3700 72
EV/EBITDA ¥1.05 ¥1.32 ¥1.58 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 ¥0.3700 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.4900 ¥0.5700 ¥0.6400 66
EV/EBITDA ¥1.05 ¥1.32 ¥1.58 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.4300 ¥0.5000 ¥0.5700 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6800 ¥0.9100 ¥1.36 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3500 ¥0.3600 ¥0.3700 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000816 screens 506% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 153 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)48 · sector 28
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $816.50 $307.83 −62%
Deere & Company DE $684.04 $182.29 −73%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 340.80 kr 288.08 −15%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $122.46 $134.71 +10%
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €44.25 €46.18 +4%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 256.20 kr 138.21 −46%
Exor N.V EXO €70.90 €123.44 +74%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.07 ¥20.84 +15%
Traton SE 8TRA €37.24 €32.88 −12%
Metso Oyj METSO €17.54 €19.29 +10%

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JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.5000 −506%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000816

Frequently asked questions

Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5000 versus a price of ¥3.03, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000816?
Our model-based fair value for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is ¥0.5000 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.03.
What is the quality score of 000816?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5000 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5000, about −84% upside versus a price of ¥3.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd pay a dividend?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd it is ¥0.5000 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥3.03. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 000816 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.03, fair value ¥0.5000, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000816?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5000). For JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd the two are ¥2.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd worth?
The market values JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd at about 4.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000816?
Our models span a range for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4300, base ¥0.5000, optimistic ¥0.5800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥3.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Balance-sheet figures for JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000816 from its 52-week high?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd trades at ¥3.03, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥4.42 and 25% above the low of ¥2.42 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, AB Volvo (publ),, PACCAR Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥3.03, calculated fair value ¥0.5000 (−84%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000816 calculated?
We run JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.5000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥3.03. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5000, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The market capitalisation of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 4.4B CNY (≈ $655M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 2.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Earnings per share at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd are ¥−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The dividend yield of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The net margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
The operating margin of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Revenue at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is growing +9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816)?
Earnings per share at JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd are growing −96.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) generate?
The free cash flow of JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd is −158M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd (000816) hold?
JiangSu JiangHuai Engine Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 294M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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