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Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock ¥0.68, price ¥1.20, that is 43.3% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE100000WP7

JL Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd

002501 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 43% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +27% vs. a year ago.
Quality 40/100
Fair value ¥0.6800 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −23.9 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -56.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥2.82 ¥0.9800 Fair Value ¥0.6800 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥0.9800 – ¥2.82 · fair‑value band ¥0.5100 – ¥0.8500 · the ¥1.20 price screens above the ¥0.6800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells aluminum alloy products in China.

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The company offers bumpers, battery boxes, door and window profiles, curtain walls, rail car material, aluminum rod and tube, equipment bracket, solar borde, heat sink, and laptop case, as well as laptop shell, smartphone trays, radiator products, oil drill, seamless tube, etc.

It provides aluminum deep processing products; car bodies and containers; bars and pipes; and tempered, insulating, laminated, bulletproof, and fireproof glass, as well as water conservancy projects, I-shaped aluminum, and flyovers and three-dimensional parking garages.

Its products are used in auto parts, building decoration, rail transit, solar energy, electronic power, aviation, and petrochemical industries. Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. also exports its products.

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Jilin Liyuan Aluminum Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. in November 2013. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Liaoyuan, China.

Stock analysis

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501) currently trades at ¥1.20, while our estimate is ¥0.6800, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥0.5100 (bear) to ¥0.8500 (bull), the price of ¥1.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported revenue of 224M CNY in FY2025 versus 367M CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.6%/yr. Reported net income was −178M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.3B CNY (≈ $639M) Small · P/S ratio 13.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −56.7% · Return on equity −69.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −10.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −43%, 002501 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥0.5100 Fair Value ¥0.6800 Bull ¥0.8500
Price ¥1.20 · Downside -43.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 30
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 94
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −20.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5,024.3% (2020) → −39.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002501 screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −15.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −56.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −10.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/B 24.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 15.91× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$19.58 HK$30.21 +54% vs 002501
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥24.50 ¥32.01 +31% vs 002501
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 6.76 MYR 7.54 MYR +11% vs 002501
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹960.00 ₹1,026 +7% vs 002501
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥11.47 ¥11.42 +0% vs 002501
Alcoa Corporation AA $39.98 $39.73 −1% vs 002501
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 69.46 kr 66.35 −4% vs 002501
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥14.09 ¥8.12 −42% vs 002501
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥23.72 ¥13.49 −43% vs 002501
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥8.34 ¥4.16 −50% vs 002501

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Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002501

Frequently asked questions

Is Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥0.6800 versus a price of ¥1.20, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002501?
Our estimate for Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is ¥0.6800 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.20.
What is the quality score of 002501?
Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥0.6800 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥0.5100, optimistic scenario ¥0.8500. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥0.6800, about 43% lower versus a price of ¥1.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.5100, optimistic scenario ¥0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 268M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd it is ¥0.6800 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥1.20.
Is Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 002501 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥1.20, fair value ¥0.6800, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002501?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6800). For Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd the two are ¥0.5200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd at about 4.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.20; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002501?
Our models span a range for Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.5100, base ¥0.6800, optimistic ¥0.8500 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥1.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −69.1%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002501 from its 52-week high?
Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd trades at ¥1.20, about 57% below its 52-week high of ¥2.82 and 14% above the low of ¥1.05 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, Aluminum Corporation, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥1.20, calculated fair value ¥0.6800 (−43%), Quality Score 40/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥1.20. Our estimate is ¥0.6800, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The market capitalisation of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 4.3B CNY (≈ $639M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 13.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Earnings per share at Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd are ¥−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The dividend yield of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The net margin of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is −56.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is −69.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is −25.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
The operating margin of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501)?
Revenue at Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is growing +26.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501) generate?
The free cash flow of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is −160M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002501) carry?
The net debt of Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is 19.1M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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