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TFG International Group Ltd (0542) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TFG International Group Ltd stock HK$0.76, price HK$0.39, upside +98.2%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · ISIN KYG2000K1040

TI TFG International Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

TFG International Group Ltd

0542 · HK

Cheap (50% below fair value), solid company and rising price: meets all 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$0.7630 · Strongly undervalued 
Quality 68/100 
Rising price (uptrend) 
Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin (TTM) 
Generates free cash flow 
Ranks above peers (10/10) 
Revenue last quarter +95% vs. a year ago. 
Negative equity (buybacks among others) 
Moderate moat 57/100 · thin data
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −21.9 %/yr in HKD) 
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.77 HK$0.2200 Fair Value HK$0.7630 Mar 2020 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2200 – HK$1.77 · fair‑value band HK$0.5590 – HK$1.01 · the HK$0.3850 price screens below the HK$0.7630 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

China Cultural Tourism and Agriculture Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development, hotel businesses, and trading of food and beverages in the People's Republic of China.

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It operates through Property Development Business, Hotel Business, and Other Business segments. The Property Development Business segment develops and sells residential and commercial properties in Zhongshan. This segment also provides agency services; and operates clubhouses.

Its Hotel Business segment provides sub licensing to hotel operators and related management activities. The Other Business segment trades in goods. It is also involved in cultural tourism, e-commerce, agricultural products, and food processing activities; and manufactures and sells hygiene products.

The company was formerly known as TFG International Group Limited and changed its name to China Cultural Tourism and Agriculture Group Limited in December 2023. China Cultural Tourism and Agriculture Group Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

TFG International Group Ltd (0542) currently trades at HK$0.3850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7630, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$2.49 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.3850 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$1.45, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.5590 (bear) to HK$1.01 (bull), the price of HK$0.3850 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

TFG International Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$762M in FY2025 versus HK$16.5M in FY2021, a compound +160.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$53.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$678M (≈ $86.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.6 · P/S ratio 0.39 · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 275% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 68.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$796M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at 98%, 0542 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.5590 Fair Value HK$0.7630 Bull HK$1.01
Price HK$0.3850 · Upside +98.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$1.96 HK$2.52 HK$3.43 80
Growth DCF HK$2.01 HK$2.49 HK$3.21 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.71 HK$2.43 HK$3.49 71
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.96 HK$2.52 HK$3.43 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.71 HK$2.43 HK$3.49 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.78 HK$2.27 HK$2.77 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.4500 HK$0.6000 HK$0.7500 57
EV/Revenue HK$1.49 HK$2.30 HK$3.10 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.01 HK$2.49 HK$3.21 79

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 47
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 39
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 74
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+252.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+102.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−43.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−43.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−552% → −22%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 491 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +98.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 2.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 19.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 68.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 94.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.11× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 1.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.63× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.92 HK$78.45 +162% vs 0542
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.23 ¥10.09 +93% vs 0542
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.19 HK$22.53 +85% vs 0542
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.24 HK$72.05 +46% vs 0542
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$110.90 HK$156.00 +41% vs 0542
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.48 ¥5.64 −25% vs 0542
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.38 HK$6.32 −39% vs 0542
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,220 ₹271.92 −78% vs 0542
DLF Limited DLF ₹758.75 ₹167.48 −78% vs 0542
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.22 $1.52 −82% vs 0542

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TFG International Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TFG International Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0542

Frequently asked questions

Is TFG International Group Ltd (0542) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7630 versus a price of HK$0.3850, about +98% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0542?
Our model-based fair value for TFG International Group Ltd is HK$0.7630 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3850.
What is the quality score of 0542?
TFG International Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7630 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5590, optimistic scenario HK$1.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TFG International Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7630, about +98% upside versus a price of HK$0.3850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5590, optimistic scenario HK$1.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
TFG International Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$796M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TFG International Group Ltd it is HK$0.7630 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3850. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is TFG International Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0542 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3850, fair value HK$0.7630, a gap of about +98% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0542?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7630). For TFG International Group Ltd the two are HK$0.3780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TFG International Group Ltd worth?
The market values TFG International Group Ltd at about HK$678M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3850; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7630 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0542?
Our models span a range for TFG International Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5590, base HK$0.7630, optimistic HK$1.01 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$0.3850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0542?
TFG International Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.7630 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/S 1.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 0542?
The PEG ratio of TFG International Group Ltd is 0.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
Balance-sheet figures for TFG International Group Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0542 from its 52-week high?
TFG International Group Ltd trades at HK$0.3850, about 78% below its 52-week high of HK$1.77 and 38% above the low of HK$0.2800 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7630 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TFG International Group Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TFG International Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$0.3850, calculated fair value HK$0.7630 (+98%), Quality Score 68/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0542 calculated?
We run TFG International Group Ltd through 6 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.7630 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. TFG International Group Ltd currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.3850. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7630, about +98% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TFG International Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5590). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.5590 to HK$1.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TFG International Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The market capitalisation of TFG International Group Ltd is HK$678M (≈ $86.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TFG International Group Ltd is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The net margin of TFG International Group Ltd is 7.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TFG International Group Ltd is 275% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TFG International Group Ltd is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
The operating margin of TFG International Group Ltd is 68.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TFG International Group Ltd (0542)?
Revenue at TFG International Group Ltd is growing 94.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TFG International Group Ltd (0542) generate?
The free cash flow of TFG International Group Ltd is HK$513M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TFG International Group Ltd (0542) carry?
The net debt of TFG International Group Ltd is HK$756M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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