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Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock HK$0.22, price HK$0.22, upside +2.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials HK · ISIN BMG7783F1077

SP Samson Paper Holdings Limited logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Samson Paper Holdings Limited

0731 · HK

Rising price, but the stock is already about fairly priced and weak company: meets 1 of 3 rules.

Get notified free when this changes
Rising price (uptrend) 
Revenue last quarter +33% vs. a year ago. 
Fair value HK$0.2227 · Fairly valued 
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +1.6 %/yr in HKD) 
Quality 38/100 
Loss-making · -3.9% net margin (TTM) 
High debt 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (3/10) 
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data 
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$5.10 HK$0.1320 Fair Value HK$0.2227 Apr 2019 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1320 – HK$5.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.1670 – HK$0.2783 · the HK$0.2180 price screens below the HK$0.2227 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trade of paper products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company provides pulping, papermaking, printing, packing, and waste papers.

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It also duplex offers coated duplex boards, kraftliner, testliner, and corrugated medium products, as well as is involved in the recycling of wasted paper.

The company was formerly known as Samson Paper Holdings Limited and changed its name to C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited in October 2022. C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of NCD Investment Holding Limited.

Stock analysis

Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) currently trades at HK$0.2180, while our estimate is HK$0.2227, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.2%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.1670 (bear) to HK$0.2783 (bull), the price of HK$0.2180 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.

Samson Paper Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2026 versus HK$1.2B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$73.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$308M (≈ $39.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.22 · Net margin −5.0% · Return on equity −49.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B · Revenue growth (YoY) +32.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 2%, 0731 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.1670 Fair Value HK$0.2227 Bull HK$0.2783
Price HK$0.2180 · Upside +2.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 18
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 2
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 33
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.6% (2021) → −3.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 119 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +2.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 5.95× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.34× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$4.26 HK$7.54 +77% vs 0731
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP 6,900 IDR 10,509 IDR +52% vs 0731
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Limited 2314 HK$3.14 HK$4.53 +44% vs 0731
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 890.00 CLP 1,264 CLP +42% vs 0731
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥15.04 ¥21.06 +40% vs 0731
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥13.52 ¥16.93 +25% vs 0731
Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A SEM €19.86 €24.27 +22% vs 0731
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €22.55 €21.19 −6% vs 0731
Billerud AB BILL kr 89.75 kr 68.44 −24% vs 0731
Suzano S.A SUZ $9.65 $5.11 −47% vs 0731

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Samson Paper Holdings Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samson Paper Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0731

Frequently asked questions

Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.2227 versus a price of HK$0.2180, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0731?
Our estimate for Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$0.2227 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2180.
What is the quality score of 0731?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.2227 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.1670, optimistic scenario HK$0.2783. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.2227, about +2% upside versus a price of HK$0.2180 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1670, optimistic scenario HK$0.2783. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Samson Paper Holdings Limited it is HK$0.2227 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2180.
Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0731 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2180, fair value HK$0.2227, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0731?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2227). For Samson Paper Holdings Limited the two are HK$0.0047 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Samson Paper Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Samson Paper Holdings Limited at about HK$308M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2180; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2227 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0731?
Our models span a range for Samson Paper Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.1670, base HK$0.2227, optimistic HK$0.2783 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.2180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Balance-sheet figures for Samson Paper Holdings Limited (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −49.2%, debt of 5.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0731 from its 52-week high?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited trades at HK$0.2180, about 64% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6100 and 59% above the low of HK$0.1370 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2227 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Samson Paper Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.2180, calculated fair value HK$0.2227 (+2%), Quality Score 38/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Samson Paper Holdings Limited currently trades 2% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.2180. Our estimate is HK$0.2227, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Samson Paper Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Samson Paper Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The market capitalisation of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$308M (≈ $39.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The net margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −5.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −49.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The operating margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Revenue at Samson Paper Holdings Limited is growing 32.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Earnings per share at Samson Paper Holdings Limited are down 3.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) generate?
The free cash flow of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −HK$121M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) carry?
The net debt of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$767M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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