C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation (0731) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$566M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.0600 to HK$0.1200 (+100.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −13.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1320 – HK$5.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.1000 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.3100 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation (0731) currently trades at HK$0.3100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue grew 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -44.7%. Net debt stands at HK$767M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1000 (bear case) to HK$0.1800 (bull case); at HK$0.3100, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -61%, 0731 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trade of paper products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company provides pulping, papermaking, printing, packing, and waste papers.
Full company description
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trade of paper products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company provides pulping, papermaking, printing, packing, and waste papers. It also duplex offers coated duplex boards, kraftliner, testliner, and corrugated medium products, as well as is involved in the recycling of wasted paper. The company was formerly known as Samson Paper Holdings Limited and changed its name to C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited in October 2022. C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of NCD Investment Holding Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2026 versus HK$1.2B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$73.7M in FY2026.
0731 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $8.02 | $23.77 | +196% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 323.20 | kr 217.72 | -33% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$8.21 | HK$8.74 | +6% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.11 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 77.60 | kr 48.60 | -37% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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