Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Samson Paper Holdings Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Aug 5, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1320 – HK$5.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.1000 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
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C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trade of paper products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company provides pulping, papermaking, printing, packing, and waste papers.
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C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trade of paper products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company provides pulping, papermaking, printing, packing, and waste papers. It also duplex offers coated duplex boards, kraftliner, testliner, and corrugated medium products, as well as is involved in the recycling of wasted paper. The company was formerly known as Samson Paper Holdings Limited and changed its name to C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited in October 2022. C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of NCD Investment Holding Limited.
Stock analysis
Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, 57.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1000 (bear) to HK$0.1800 (bull), the price of HK$0.2800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Samson Paper Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2026 versus HK$1.2B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$73.7M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$566M (≈ $72.1M) · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −5.0% · Return on equity −44.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.6% · Operating margin −2.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at −57%, 0731 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1000Fair Value HK$0.1200Bull HK$0.1800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.6% (2021) → −3.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Samson Paper Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−57.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity5.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.55× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.05× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 7
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samson Paper Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0731
Frequently asked questions
Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1200 versus a price of HK$0.2800, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0731?
Our model-based fair value for Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$0.1200 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2800.
What is the quality score of 0731?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1200 (as of Aug 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1000, optimistic scenario HK$0.1800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1200, about −57% upside versus a price of HK$0.2800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1000, optimistic scenario HK$0.1800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Samson Paper Holdings Limited it is HK$0.1200 per share (as of Aug 5, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2800. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 5, 2026, 0731 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2800, fair value HK$0.1200, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0731?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1200). For Samson Paper Holdings Limited the two are HK$0.1600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Samson Paper Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Samson Paper Holdings Limited at about HK$566M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0731?
Our models span a range for Samson Paper Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.1000, base HK$0.1200, optimistic HK$0.1800 per share (as of Aug 5, 2026, price HK$0.2800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Balance-sheet figures for Samson Paper Holdings Limited (as of Aug 5, 2026): return on equity −44.7%, debt of 5.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0731 from its 52-week high?
Samson Paper Holdings Limited trades at HK$0.2800, about 54% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6100 and 104% above the low of HK$0.1370 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Samson Paper Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Samson Paper Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 5, 2026: price HK$0.2800, calculated fair value HK$0.1200 (−57%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0731 calculated?
We run Samson Paper Holdings Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Samson Paper Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2800. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1200, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Samson Paper Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Samson Paper Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The market capitalisation of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$566M (≈ $72.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Earnings per share at Samson Paper Holdings Limited are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The net margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −5.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −44.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
The operating margin of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Revenue at Samson Paper Holdings Limited is growing +22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731)?
Earnings per share at Samson Paper Holdings Limited are growing −3.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) generate?
The free cash flow of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is −HK$121M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Samson Paper Holdings Limited (0731) carry?
The net debt of Samson Paper Holdings Limited is HK$767M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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