CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd (1205) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.78, price HK$0.49, upside +60.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd
1205 · HKCheap (38% below fair value), solid company and rising price: meets all 3 rules.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2625 – HK$0.6250 · fair‑value band HK$0.7652 – HK$0.8191 · the HK$0.4850 price screens below the HK$0.7760 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Company profile
CITIC Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and coal in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally.
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The company operates in four segments: Aluminum Smelting; Coal; Crude Oil; and Import and Export of Commodities. The Aluminum Smelting segment operates a Portland aluminum smelter which sources alumina; and produces aluminum ingots in Australia.
The Coal segment operates coal mines; and sells coal in Australia. The Crude Oil segment explores, develops, and operates oilfields, as well as sells crude oil in Indonesia and China.
The Import and Export of Commodities segment exports various commodity products; and imports other commodities and manufactured goods. It also engages in alumina refinery; financing; oil technology development; and property holding activities.
In addition, the company provides consulting and management services; invests in bauxite mining; and trades in oil and gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. CITIC Resources Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of CITIC Limited.
Stock analysis
CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd (1205) currently trades at HK$0.4850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7760, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.22 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.4850 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.3800, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.7652 (bear) to HK$0.8191 (bull), the price of HK$0.4850 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$15.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.3B in FY2021, a compound +36.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$171M in FY2025, compounding −37.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$3.8B (≈ $486M) Small · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.12 · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 60%, 1205 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 119 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Dividend yield by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹144.04 | ₹245.43 | +70% | vs 1205 |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹302.00 | ₹434.58 | +44% | vs 1205 |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 109,200 KRW | 117,049 KRW | +7% | vs 1205 |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,340 | ₹865.31 | −35% | vs 1205 |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $102.18 | $52.92 | −48% | vs 1205 |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €27.62 | €11.70 | −58% | vs 1205 |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $414.65 | $172.57 | −58% | vs 1205 |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 92.50 TWD | 35.53 TWD | −62% | vs 1205 |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $379.83 | $131.30 | −65% | vs 1205 |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $264.90 | $90.80 | −66% | vs 1205 |
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Key figures of CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd
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