CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd (1205) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd HK$0.99, price HK$0.60, upside +66.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd
1205 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2301 – HK$0.5950 · fair‑value band HK$0.7500 – HK$1.29 · the HK$0.5950 price screens below the HK$0.9900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
CITIC Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and coal in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Aluminum Smelting; Coal; Crude Oil; and Import and Export of Commodities.
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CITIC Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and coal in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Aluminum Smelting; Coal; Crude Oil; and Import and Export of Commodities. The Aluminum Smelting segment operates a Portland aluminum smelter which sources alumina; and produces aluminum ingots in Australia. The Coal segment operates coal mines; and sells coal in Australia. The Crude Oil segment explores, develops, and operates oilfields, as well as sells crude oil in Indonesia and China. The Import and Export of Commodities segment exports various commodity products; and imports other commodities and manufactured goods. It also engages in alumina refinery; financing; oil technology development; and property holding activities. In addition, the company provides consulting and management services; invests in bauxite mining; and trades in oil and gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. CITIC Resources Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of CITIC Limited.
Stock analysis
CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd (1205) currently trades at HK$0.5950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.29 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.5950 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.3900, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.7500 (bear) to HK$1.29 (bull), the price of HK$0.5950 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$15.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.3B in FY2021, a compound +36.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$171M in FY2025, compounding −37.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$4.7B (≈ $596M) · P/E ratio 29.8 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 66%, 1205 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 446 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 61.10 SAR | 67.21 SAR | +10% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥17.08 | ¥19.15 | +12% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹588.95 | ₹647.85 | +10% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥57.18 | ¥29.56 | −48% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,116,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | −42% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 521.00 | kr 464.45 | −11% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥35.19 | ¥38.71 | +10% |
| Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN | C$12.06 | C$4.46 | −63% |
| Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 | ¥46.90 | ¥23.62 | −50% |
| Vedanta Limited VEDL | ₹266.35 | ₹655.92 | +146% |
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Key figures of CITIC Resources Holdings Ltd
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