Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp stock TWD 33.65, price TWD 57.50, that is 41.5% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 41.30 TWD – 122.68 TWD · fair‑value band 25.17 TWD – 39.89 TWD · the 57.50 TWD price screens above the 33.65 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides shipping, repair, and chartering services in Taiwan, the America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company purchases and sells ships, containers, and chassis.
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It acts as a property, shipping, and forwarding and inland forwarding agent, as well as a shipping manager.
In addition, it provides warehouse and terminal operations, as well as container haulage services, information system, insurance, cargo consolidation, container transportation, stevedoring, and logistics services.
Further, it imports and exports; storage and delivery; and other warehousing related business. Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Keelung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) currently trades at 57.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.65 TWD, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 128.95 TWD per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 57.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 22.56 TWD, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 25.17 TWD (bear) to 39.89 TWD (bull), the price of 57.50 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp reported revenue of 164B TWD in FY2025 versus 334B TWD in FY2021, a compound −16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 17.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding −43.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 204B TWD (≈ $6.2B) Mid · P/E ratio 13.0 · P/S ratio 1.25 · EPS (TTM) 4.43 TWD · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −41%, 2609 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear25.17 TWDFair Value 33.65 TWDBull39.89 TWD
Price 57.50 TWD · Downside -41.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.08 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF53.14 TWD66.15 TWD86.08 TWD82
Growth DCF53.52 TWD65.01 TWD81.53 TWD80
Owner Earnings38.37 TWD43.05 TWD50.23 TWD78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF53.14 TWD66.15 TWD86.08 TWD82
Owner Earnings38.37 TWD43.05 TWD50.23 TWD78
5Y Revenue Exit61.84 TWD83.62 TWD111.70 TWD73
5Y EBITDA Exit94.53 TWD144.94 TWD204.48 TWD75
5Y P/E Exit82.90 TWD123.12 TWD165.72 TWD71
10Y Revenue Exit57.31 TWD76.48 TWD102.70 TWD67
10Y EBITDA Exit79.34 TWD119.13 TWD173.71 TWD68
10Y P/E Exit71.92 TWD103.96 TWD144.04 TWD64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd33.29 TWD104.93 TWD139.73 TWD64
Lynch FV23.00 TWD32.85 TWD42.71 TWD61
PEG = 1.023.00 TWD32.85 TWD42.71 TWD57
EPV53.83 TWD57.80 TWD61.27 TWD74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM68.89 TWD143.31 TWD227.47 TWD66
DDM Multi-Stage68.89 TWD114.59 TWD150.40 TWD66
Multiples
P/E Multiple77.11 TWD102.81 TWD128.52 TWD63
P/S Multiple62.42 TWD83.23 TWD104.04 TWD58
P/B Multiple57.81 TWD77.07 TWD96.34 TWD55
EV/EBIT78.33 TWD96.14 TWD113.96 TWD66
EV/EBITDA121.99 TWD154.36 TWD186.73 TWD67
EV/Revenue63.02 TWD79.37 TWD95.73 TWD54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)14.89 TWD22.56 TWD28.20 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF53.52 TWD65.01 TWD81.53 TWD80
Rev-Margin DCF61.84 TWD83.34 TWD108.02 TWD74
Economic Profit
Residual Income72.84 TWD74.89 TWD79.60 TWD76
ROIC Compounder53.83 TWD57.80 TWD61.27 TWD72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E64.04 TWD91.48 TWD118.93 TWD67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28.6% vs 33.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.1%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.8% a year for the price and −3.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−41.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets3.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)9.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)12.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)18.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2609
Frequently asked questions
Is Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.65 TWD versus a price of 57.50 TWD, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2609?
Our model-based fair value for Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 33.65 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 57.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2609?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.65 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 25.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 39.89 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.65 TWD, about 41% lower versus a price of 57.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 25.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 39.89 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 164B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp pay a dividend?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 3.48% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp pays a dividend of 2.00 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 14, 2026. The payout ratio is 45.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.69 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2609 use?
Our models discount Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp that is -14.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -14.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (-14.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.38 %: that much free cash flow Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp it is 33.65 TWD per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 57.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 2609 trades above its calculated fair value: price 57.50 TWD, fair value 33.65 TWD, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2609?
No. The price is what the market pays today (57.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.65 TWD). For Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp the two are 23.85 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp worth?
The market values Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp at about 204B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 57.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 33.65 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2609?
Our models span a range for Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp: cautious scenario 25.17 TWD, base 33.65 TWD, optimistic 39.89 TWD per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 57.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2609?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 33.65 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.1. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 2609?
The PEG ratio of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 0.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2609 from its 52-week high?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp trades at 57.50 TWD, about 13% below its 52-week high of 66.00 TWD and 20% above the low of 48.00 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.65 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 57.50 TWD, calculated fair value 33.65 TWD (−41%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2609 calculated?
We run Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 33.65 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 57.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 33.65 TWD, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (39.89 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The market capitalisation of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 204B TWD (≈ $6.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Earnings per share at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp are 4.43 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The dividend yield of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 3.5% (payout 45.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The net margin of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 9.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 23.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
The operating margin of Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Revenue at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp is growing +18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609)?
Earnings per share at Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp are growing +486% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (2609) hold?
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp holds more cash than debt, 86.8B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026