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UST Co. Ltd (263770) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of UST Co. Ltd stock KRW 2,373, price KRW 1,436, upside +65.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials KR

UC UST Co. Ltd logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

UST Co. Ltd

263770 · KQ
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 39% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 2,373 KRW · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
4.2% dividend yield · Well covered
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago.
Quality 59/100
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin (TTM)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −16.6 %/yr in KRW)
Narrow moat 36/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6,059 KRW 1,395 KRW Fair Value 2,373 KRW Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,395 KRW – 6,059 KRW · fair‑value band 1,807 KRW – 2,533 KRW · the 1,436 KRW price screens below the 2,373 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

UST Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells stainless steel pipes and tubes in South Korea. It offers pipes, clean tubes, and precision tubes are used in various industries. The company was formerly known as U-Steel Co., Ltd. and changed its name to UST Co., Ltd. in 2017.

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UST Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Pohang, South Korea. UST Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hwang Kum Steel & Technology Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

UST Co. Ltd (263770) currently trades at 1,436 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,373 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 39% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 3,499 KRW per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,436 KRW price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 604.50 KRW, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 1,807 KRW (bear) to 2,533 KRW (bull), the price of 1,436 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

UST Co. Ltd reported revenue of 58.0B KRW in FY2025 versus 66.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B KRW in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 33.8B KRW (≈ $25.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) 160.42 KRW · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 65%, 263770 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,807 KRW Fair Value 2,373 KRW Bull 2,533 KRW
Price 1,436 KRW · Upside +65.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (86.12 KRW per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 3,240 KRW 4,008 KRW 5,378 KRW 79
Growth DCF 3,328 KRW 4,067 KRW 5,283 KRW 78
Owner Earnings 3,450 KRW 4,294 KRW 5,797 KRW 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3,240 KRW 4,008 KRW 5,378 KRW 79
Owner Earnings 3,450 KRW 4,294 KRW 5,797 KRW 75
5Y Revenue Exit 2,458 KRW 2,878 KRW 3,485 KRW 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,633 KRW 3,182 KRW 3,910 KRW 74
5Y P/E Exit 2,641 KRW 3,195 KRW 3,862 KRW 70
10Y Revenue Exit 2,740 KRW 3,075 KRW 3,416 KRW 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 2,866 KRW 3,258 KRW 3,658 KRW 68
10Y P/E Exit 2,871 KRW 3,266 KRW 3,631 KRW 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 706.87 KRW 863.95 KRW 971.95 KRW 65
EPV 1,807 KRW 1,917 KRW 2,011 KRW 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 521.16 KRW 567.37 KRW 637.16 KRW 67
DDM Multi-Stage 521.16 KRW 641.63 KRW 805.10 KRW 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,325 KRW 1,767 KRW 2,209 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,325 KRW 1,767 KRW 2,209 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 2,955 KRW 3,940 KRW 4,925 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 591.39 KRW 938.57 KRW 1,286 KRW 64
EV/EBITDA 860.75 KRW 1,298 KRW 1,735 KRW 66
EV/Revenue 452.52 KRW 839.37 KRW 1,226 KRW 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,566 KRW 2,373 KRW 2,966 KRW 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3,328 KRW 4,067 KRW 5,283 KRW 78
Rev-Margin DCF 2,458 KRW 2,930 KRW 3,530 KRW 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,522 KRW 2,495 KRW 2,533 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 1,807 KRW 1,917 KRW 2,011 KRW 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 944.21 KRW 1,349 KRW 1,754 KRW 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 72
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 90
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 63
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 4%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−30.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −31.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +65.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.6% · Below median
Return on assets 2.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 9.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 6.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)84 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.11 ¥8.07 +32% vs 263770
POSCO Holdings 005490 265,000 KRW 240,001 KRW −9% vs 263770
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.30 ₹148.06 −21% vs 263770
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,357 ₹1,029 −24% vs 263770
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €54.82 €36.18 −34% vs 263770
Reliance, Inc RS $417.00 $211.54 −49% vs 263770
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.97 $116.49 −52% vs 263770
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.03 −56% vs 263770
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $222.90 $89.54 −60% vs 263770
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.99 ¥0.5400 −73% vs 263770

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UST Co. Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UST Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/263770

Frequently asked questions

Is UST Co. Ltd (263770) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,373 KRW versus a price of 1,436 KRW, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 263770?
Our model-based fair value for UST Co. Ltd is 2,373 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,436 KRW.
What is the quality score of 263770?
UST Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,373 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,807 KRW, optimistic scenario 2,533 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UST Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,373 KRW, about +65% upside versus a price of 1,436 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,807 KRW, optimistic scenario 2,533 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
UST Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 64.2B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does UST Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
UST Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.18% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of UST Co. Ltd (263770) and when is the ex-dividend date?
UST Co. Ltd pays a dividend of 60.00 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Dec 29, 2025. The payout ratio is 37.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.81 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UST Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -30.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 263770 use?
Our models discount UST Co. Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UST Co. Ltd that is -30.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UST Co. Ltd (263770) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UST Co. Ltd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -30.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UST Co. Ltd (263770) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UST Co. Ltd (-30.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.93 %: that much free cash flow UST Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UST Co. Ltd it is 2,373 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 1,436 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is UST Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 263770 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,436 KRW, fair value 2,373 KRW, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 263770?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,436 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,373 KRW). For UST Co. Ltd the two are 937.13 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UST Co. Ltd worth?
The market values UST Co. Ltd at about 33.8B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 1,436 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 2,373 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 263770?
Our models span a range for UST Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 1,807 KRW, base 2,373 KRW, optimistic 2,533 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 1,436 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 263770?
UST Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,373 KRW is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 19.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Balance-sheet figures for UST Co. Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 4.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 263770 from its 52-week high?
UST Co. Ltd trades at 1,436 KRW, about 36% below its 52-week high of 2,250 KRW and 3% above the low of 1,395 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,373 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UST Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UST Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 1,436 KRW, calculated fair value 2,373 KRW (+65%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 263770 calculated?
We run UST Co. Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 2,373 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. UST Co. Ltd currently trades 39% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1,436 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 2,373 KRW, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UST Co. Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,807 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of UST Co. Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The market capitalisation of UST Co. Ltd is 33.8B KRW (≈ $25.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UST Co. Ltd is 0.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Earnings per share at UST Co. Ltd are 160.42 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The dividend yield of UST Co. Ltd is 4.2% (payout 37.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The net margin of UST Co. Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UST Co. Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UST Co. Ltd is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
The operating margin of UST Co. Ltd is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Revenue at UST Co. Ltd is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UST Co. Ltd (263770)?
Earnings per share at UST Co. Ltd are growing +286% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does UST Co. Ltd (263770) carry?
The net debt of UST Co. Ltd is 10.6B KRW (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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