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Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material stock ¥13.57, price ¥14.63, that is 7.2% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE1000011M2

JC Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material

300196 · SHE
Fairly valued, in an uptrend

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Broad data
Fair value ¥13.57 · Fairly valued
Quality 56/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr in CNY)
2.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 45/100 · thin data
Revenue last quarter 10% below a year ago.
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥32.60 ¥7.37 Fair Value ¥13.57 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.37 – ¥32.60 · fair‑value band ¥10.18 – ¥16.96 · the ¥14.63 price screens above the ¥13.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of glass fiber products and composite materials.

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It offers glass roving products, including felt yarn, SMC sheet, textile type direct, chopped fiber, winding type direct, jet, roof, plied drawn, and glass fiber chopped felt yarn, as well as plied yarn for pipe short cut, yarn for transparent plate, glass fiber for continuous pipes, and direct yarn for pultrusion and for weaving.

The company also provides fiberglass products, such as glass chopped strand mats, glass fiber wet mats, fiberglass fabric, fiberglass coated mats, fiberglass partitions, fiberglass continuous mats, and fiberglass mesh; thermoplastic glass fiber and its products, including thermoplastic fiberglass, continuous fiber reinforced thermoplastic prepreg tapes, reinforced polypropylene composite boards, thermoplastic fiberglass, thermoplastic honeycomb composite panels, and thermoplastic foam insulation composite boards; and glass fiber for wind power and photovoltaic.

In addition, it is involved in manufacturing unsaturated polyester resin; sale of methyl ethyl ketone peroxide, FRP products, chemical raw materials, and glass fiber raw materials; and testing, technical training, and consulting operations for FRP and its raw and auxiliary materials.

The company sells its products in China, North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Oceania, Africa, and internationally. Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 2000 and is based in Changzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) currently trades at ¥14.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.57, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.8%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥14.98 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥14.63 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.58, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥10.18 (bear) to ¥16.96 (bull), the price of ¥14.63 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material reported revenue of 3.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was 326M CNY in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.0B CNY (≈ $896M) Small · P/E ratio 18.3 · P/S ratio 1.87 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8000 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 10.2% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −7%, 300196 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥10.18 Fair Value ¥13.57 Bull ¥16.96
Price ¥14.63 · Downside -7.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3847 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥8.82 ¥9.01 ¥9.66 76
EPV ¥10.19 ¥11.08 ¥11.82 74
ROIC Compounder ¥10.19 ¥11.08 ¥11.87 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.43 ¥28.46 ¥39.38 63
Lynch FV ¥7.81 ¥11.16 ¥14.51 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.81 ¥11.16 ¥14.51 57
EPV ¥10.19 ¥11.08 ¥11.82 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.71 ¥4.75 ¥6.39 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.71 ¥4.40 ¥5.08 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.18 ¥13.57 ¥16.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.63 ¥11.51 ¥14.39 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.16 ¥17.54 ¥21.93 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.50 ¥14.95 ¥18.41 66
EV/EBITDA ¥14.30 ¥18.68 ¥23.07 67
EV/Revenue ¥9.19 ¥12.64 ¥16.09 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8900 ¥1.35 ¥1.68 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.82 ¥9.01 ¥9.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.19 ¥11.08 ¥11.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.49 ¥14.98 ¥19.47 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 33
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 82
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 59
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 36
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 24
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 92
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.4% vs 3.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 336 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 10.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 15.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.87× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)48 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 232,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +153% vs 300196
Dow Inc DOW $31.40 $41.88 +33% vs 300196
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.62 ¥19.26 +16% vs 300196
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥21.24 ¥22.31 +5% vs 300196
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 48.06 SAR 36.26 SAR −25% vs 300196
BASF SE BAS €54.28 €38.46 −29% vs 300196
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥32.32 ¥19.31 −40% vs 300196
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 62.70 TWD 35.56 TWD −43% vs 300196
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥38.22 ¥15.80 −59% vs 300196
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥66.38 ¥17.47 −74% vs 300196

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Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300196

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.57 versus a price of ¥14.63, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300196?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is ¥13.57 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.63.
What is the quality score of 300196?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.57 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.18, optimistic scenario ¥16.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.57, about 7% lower versus a price of ¥14.63 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥10.18, optimistic scenario ¥16.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material currently shows a dividend yield of 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material pays a dividend of ¥0.35 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2014. The payout ratio is 41.2% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 43.8%). Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material it is ¥13.57 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥14.63. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300196 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.63, fair value ¥13.57, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300196?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.57). For Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material the two are ¥1.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material worth?
The market values Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material at about 6.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300196?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material: cautious scenario ¥10.18, base ¥13.57, optimistic ¥16.96 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥14.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300196?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.57 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 18.5 (reported for FY2025: 19.7). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 16.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300196 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material trades at ¥14.63, about 55% below its 52-week high of ¥32.60 and 15% above the low of ¥12.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥14.63, calculated fair value ¥13.57 (−7%), Quality Score 56/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300196 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥13.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥14.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.57, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) come from?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material grew +11.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.8 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 6.0B CNY (≈ $896M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 1.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material are ¥0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 2.4% (payout 41.2%, on adjusted earnings, reported 43.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 10.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is growing −9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material are growing +24.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material is −223M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material (300196) hold?
Jiangsu Changhai Compos Material holds more cash than debt, 461M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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