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Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd stock ¥18.30, price ¥35.17, that is 48.0% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE1000020X0

HG Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd

300478 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Fair value ¥18.30 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 37/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.0 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 7/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥45.00 ¥6.63 Fair Value ¥18.30 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.63 – ¥45.00 · fair‑value band ¥13.72 – ¥22.87 · the ¥35.17 price screens above the ¥18.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells polymer rubber and plastic materials in China. It serves customers in the fields of electric power, shipbuilding, rail transit, communication, electrical equipment, construction, new energy, and others.

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Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd. in February 2024. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) currently trades at ¥35.17, while our estimate is ¥18.30, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥13.72 (bear) to ¥22.87 (bull), the price of ¥35.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 392M CNY in FY2025 versus 387M CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −27.4M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.5B CNY (≈ $668M) Small · P/S ratio 10.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2800 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −8.6% · Return on equity −54.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −48%, 300478 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥13.72 Fair Value ¥18.30 Bull ¥22.87
Price ¥35.17 · Downside -48.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 28
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 93
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 28
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 68
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 68
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−46.7% (2020) → −5.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300478 screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 758 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −6.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (12 months) 11.51× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 289.00 TWD 462.40 TWD +60% vs 300478
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.74 ¥68.03 −5% vs 300478
Linde plc LIN $521.78 $446.62 −14% vs 300478
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $124.42 $77.68 −38% vs 300478
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 97.25 CHF 57.84 −41% vs 300478
Sika AG SIKA CHF 194.00 CHF 98.89 −49% vs 300478
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $355.34 $146.37 −59% vs 300478
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,048 CHF 1,554 −62% vs 300478
Ecolab Inc ECL $306.03 $96.56 −68% vs 300478
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $312.25 $75.33 −76% vs 300478

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Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300478

Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥18.30 versus a price of ¥35.17, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300478?
Our estimate for Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is ¥18.30 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥35.17.
What is the quality score of 300478?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥18.30 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥13.72, optimistic scenario ¥22.87. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥18.30, about 48% lower versus a price of ¥35.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥13.72, optimistic scenario ¥22.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 387M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd it is ¥18.30 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥35.17.
Is Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 300478 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥35.17, fair value ¥18.30, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300478?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥35.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥18.30). For Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd the two are ¥16.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd at about 4.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥35.17; our models calculate a fair value of ¥18.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300478?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥13.72, base ¥18.30, optimistic ¥22.87 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥35.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −54.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300478 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd trades at ¥35.17, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥45.00 and 63% above the low of ¥21.59 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥18.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥35.17, calculated fair value ¥18.30 (−48%), Quality Score 37/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥35.17. Our estimate is ¥18.30, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) come from?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd grew −11.2 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.3 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is 4.5B CNY (≈ $668M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is 10.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd are ¥−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is −8.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is −54.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) generate?
The free cash flow of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is −35.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd (300478) carry?
The net debt of Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co Ltd is 256M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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