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Data-driven stock valuation

Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd stock ¥6.67, price ¥29.63, that is 77.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE100004157

JT Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 12, 2026

Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd

300855 · SHE

Far too expensive (fair value 78% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin (TTM) 
Low debt 
Broad data 
Revenue last quarter +101% vs. a year ago. 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.6 %/yr in CNY) 
1.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Wide moat 68/100 · thin data
Fair value ¥6.67 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 39/100 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (5/13) 
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥46.98 ¥17.87 Fair Value ¥6.67 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.87 – ¥46.98 · fair‑value band ¥5.01 – ¥8.34 · the ¥29.63 price screens above the ¥6.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu ToLand Alloy Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, production, and sale of high temperature alloys, special stainless steels, and other high-performance alloy materials and relevant products in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

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The company offers casting master alloys and investment casting products; deforming superalloys comprising round and non-circular wires, cold-rolled and hot-rolled strips and sheets, and seamless pipes, as well as hot-rolled, cold-drawn, and hot-forged bars; and special stainless-steel products.

It also provides nickel base corrosion resistant alloys; precision alloys; welding materials, such as weld wires for argon arc welding, and special welding core wire for submerged arc welding; and high-resistance electric heating alloys.

In addition, the company is involved in the manufacture of aviation, spacecraft, and equipment parts.

Further, its products are used in various applications, such as electricity, automobiles, metallurgy, glass manufacturing, gas turbine, aircraft, aero engine, transportation, shipbuilding, nuclear power, thermal power, energy and marine, electronic devices and instruments, petrochemicals, electronic components, and heating elements of electric heating equipment.

Jiangsu ToLand Alloy Co.,Ltd was founded in 1991 and is based in Danyang, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) currently trades at ¥29.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.67, 78% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥7.15 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥29.63 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.89, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥5.01 (bear) to ¥8.34 (bull), the price of ¥29.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 698M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was 155M CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.8B) Small · P/E ratio 27.7 · P/S ratio 6.47 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.07 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 23.3% · Return on equity 19.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −78%, 300855 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.01 Fair Value ¥6.67 Bull ¥8.34
Price ¥29.63 · Downside -77.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6730 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.06 ¥4.28 ¥4.69 76
EPV ¥3.23 ¥3.76 ¥4.21 74
ROIC Compounder ¥3.23 ¥3.76 ¥4.21 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.67 ¥13.50 ¥18.65 64
Lynch FV ¥4.74 ¥6.78 ¥8.81 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.74 ¥6.78 ¥8.81 57
EPV ¥3.23 ¥3.76 ¥4.21 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.16 ¥4.04 ¥5.73 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.16 ¥3.62 ¥4.30 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.01 ¥6.67 ¥8.34 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.20 ¥4.27 ¥5.34 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.97 ¥14.62 ¥18.28 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.09 ¥6.94 ¥8.79 66
EV/EBITDA ¥5.27 ¥7.18 ¥9.08 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.53 ¥3.81 ¥5.09 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.25 ¥1.89 ¥2.37 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.06 ¥4.28 ¥4.69 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.23 ¥3.76 ¥4.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.01 ¥7.15 ¥9.30 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 82
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 21
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 60
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 33
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 78
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+11.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.0% vs 21.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 19%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

300855 screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 420 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 19.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 23.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 31.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 100.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 27.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.84× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.47× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)79 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.18 ¥8.07 +31% vs 300855
POSCO Holdings 005490 275,000 KRW 240,001 KRW −13% vs 300855
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.68 ₹148.08 −21% vs 300855
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,348 ₹1,029 −24% vs 300855
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €57.02 €36.62 −36% vs 300855
Reliance, Inc RS $427.33 $211.54 −51% vs 300855
Nucor Corporation NUE $251.73 $116.49 −54% vs 300855
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,158 ₹516.03 −55% vs 300855
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $229.43 $89.54 −61% vs 300855
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.97 ¥0.5400 −73% vs 300855

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Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300855

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.67 versus a price of ¥29.63, about 78% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300855?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is ¥6.67 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥29.63.
What is the quality score of 300855?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.67 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.01, optimistic scenario ¥8.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.67, about 78% lower versus a price of ¥29.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.01, optimistic scenario ¥8.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 12, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 28.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd it is ¥6.67 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of ¥29.63. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 300855 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥29.63, fair value ¥6.67, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300855?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥29.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.67). For Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd the two are ¥22.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd at about 11.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is ¥29.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300855?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.01, base ¥6.67, optimistic ¥8.34 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price ¥29.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300855?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.7 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.8, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 19.8%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300855 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd trades at ¥29.63, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥46.98 and 16% above the low of ¥25.58 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price ¥29.63, calculated fair value ¥6.67 (−78%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300855 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥6.67 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was ¥29.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.67, about 78% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 6.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd are ¥1.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 1.0% (payout 28.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 23.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 19.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is growing 101% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd are growing 397% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is −297M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd (300855) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Toland Alloy Co Ltd is 182M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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