Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock ¥7.53, price ¥11.09, that is 32.1% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥9.78 – ¥30.67 · fair‑value band ¥5.27 – ¥9.79 · the ¥11.09 price screens above the ¥7.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. manufactures and supplies automobile parts in China and internationally.
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Its product portfolio includes automotive engine shock absorber parts, chassis suspension shock absorbers, gear parts, turbocharger parts, engine damper parts, chassis' suspension damping systems, other precision components.
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Baoding, China.
Stock analysis
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) currently trades at ¥11.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.53, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥9.14 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥11.09 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.8800, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥5.27 (bear) to ¥9.79 (bull), the price of ¥11.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 647M CNY in FY2025 versus 484M CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 67.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B CNY (≈ $244M) Micro · P/E ratio 61.6 · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1800 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −32%, 301298 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥5.27Fair Value ¥7.53Bull¥9.79
Price ¥11.09 · Downside -32.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 12%
Compare Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−32.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Return on assets5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)61.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.58× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)54· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.53 versus a price of ¥11.09, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301298?
Our model-based fair value for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is ¥7.53 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.09.
What is the quality score of 301298?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.53 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.27, optimistic scenario ¥9.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.53, about 32% lower versus a price of ¥11.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.27, optimistic scenario ¥9.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 632M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.7%. The last ex-dividend date was May 18, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 167% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. it is ¥7.53 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥11.09. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 301298 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.09, fair value ¥7.53, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301298?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.53). For Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. the two are ¥3.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. at about 1.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.09; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301298?
Our models span a range for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥5.27, base ¥7.53, optimistic ¥9.79 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥11.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301298?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301298 from its 52-week high?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. trades at ¥11.09, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥17.25 and 6% above the low of ¥10.50 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥11.09, calculated fair value ¥7.53 (−32%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301298 calculated?
We run Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥7.53 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥11.09. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.53, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥5.27 to ¥9.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The market capitalisation of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 1.6B CNY (≈ $244M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 2.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Earnings per share at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. are ¥0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The dividend yield of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 2.7% (payout 167%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The net margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 4.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The operating margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Revenue at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is growing −5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Earnings per share at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. are growing −96.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) generate?
The free cash flow of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is −107M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) carry?
The net debt of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 63.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026