Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. ¥7.53, price ¥12.82, upside -41.3%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥9.78 – ¥30.67 · fair‑value band ¥5.27 – ¥9.79 · the ¥12.82 price screens above the ¥7.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. manufactures and supplies automobile parts in China and internationally. Its product portfolio includes automotive engine shock absorber parts, chassis suspension shock absorbers, gear parts, turbocharger parts, engine damper parts, chassis' suspension damping systems, other precision components.
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Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. manufactures and supplies automobile parts in China and internationally. Its product portfolio includes automotive engine shock absorber parts, chassis suspension shock absorbers, gear parts, turbocharger parts, engine damper parts, chassis' suspension damping systems, other precision components. Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Baoding, China.
Stock analysis
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) currently trades at ¥12.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.53, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.82 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥12.82 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥3.64, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥5.27 (bear) to ¥9.79 (bull), the price of ¥12.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 647M CNY in FY2025 versus 484M CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 67.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B CNY (≈ $281M) · P/E ratio 37.7 · P/S ratio 3.94 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3400 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −41%, 301298 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥5.27Fair Value ¥7.53Bull ¥9.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0294 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 12%
Compare Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)37.7× · Pricier than median
P/B1.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.93× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA15.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)47· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.53 versus a price of ¥12.82, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301298?
Our model-based fair value for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is ¥7.53 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.82.
What is the quality score of 301298?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.53 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.27, optimistic scenario ¥9.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.53, about −41% upside versus a price of ¥12.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.27, optimistic scenario ¥9.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 642M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. it is ¥7.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.82. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301298 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.82, fair value ¥7.53, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301298?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.53). For Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. the two are ¥5.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. at about 1.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.82; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301298?
Our models span a range for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥5.27, base ¥7.53, optimistic ¥9.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301298?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 15.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301298 from its 52-week high?
Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. trades at ¥12.82, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥17.25 and 22% above the low of ¥10.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.82, calculated fair value ¥7.53 (−41%), Quality Score 50/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301298 calculated?
We run Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥12.82. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.53, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥5.27 to ¥9.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The market capitalisation of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 1.9B CNY (≈ $281M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 3.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Earnings per share at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. are ¥0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The dividend yield of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 2.3% (payout 88.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The net margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 10.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
The operating margin of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Revenue at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298)?
Earnings per share at Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. are growing −80.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) generate?
The free cash flow of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is −107M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. (301298) carry?
The net debt of Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.Ltd. is 63.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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