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Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd stock TWD 8.81, price TWD 16.00, that is 44.9% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials TW · ISIN TW0005608004

SW Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd

5608 · TW
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 45% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 47/100
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
Costs 200 times its yearly profit.
Fair value 8.81 TWD · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −22.0 %/yr in TWD)
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

62.44 TWD 12.90 TWD Fair Value 8.81 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.90 TWD – 62.44 TWD · fair‑value band 6.24 TWD – 13.37 TWD · the 16.00 TWD price screens above the 8.81 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Shih Wei Navigation Co., Ltd. operates as a dry cargo shipping company in Taiwan. It engages in the shipping transportation, shipping agency, ship leasing, trading activities and tourist hotel services. Shih Wei Navigation Co., Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) currently trades at 16.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.81 TWD, 45% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 25.63 TWD per share, and 4 of the 10 models we run sit above the 16.00 TWD price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 7.27 TWD, and 6 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 6.24 TWD (bear) to 13.37 TWD (bull), the price of 16.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 5.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −49.5M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.2B TWD (≈ $190M) Micro · P/E ratio 200.0 · P/S ratio 1.91 · EPS (TTM) 0.0800 TWD · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 15.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −45%, 5608 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.24 TWD Fair Value 8.81 TWD Bull 13.37 TWD
Price 16.00 TWD · Downside -44.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0686 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 5.97 TWD 8.68 TWD 13.37 TWD 80
Growth DCF 6.24 TWD 8.81 TWD 12.89 TWD 78
Owner Earnings 7.77 TWD 10.95 TWD 16.45 TWD 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.97 TWD 8.68 TWD 13.37 TWD 80
Owner Earnings 7.77 TWD 10.95 TWD 16.45 TWD 76
5Y Revenue Exit 3.14 TWD 5.44 TWD 8.86 TWD 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 14.13 TWD 24.25 TWD 37.87 TWD 74
10Y Revenue Exit 4.26 TWD 6.10 TWD 8.01 TWD 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 10.30 TWD 16.66 TWD 23.71 TWD 68
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 15.80 TWD 25.63 TWD 35.45 TWD 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.06 TWD 16.16 TWD 24.12 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.24 TWD 8.81 TWD 12.89 TWD 78
Rev-Margin DCF 3.14 TWD 5.73 TWD 9.07 TWD 71

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 47
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 44
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 49
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.0% (2020) → −3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+30.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +28.9% a year for the price.

5608 screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

Compare Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −44.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 15.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 200.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.91× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 25.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)56 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5608

Frequently asked questions

Is Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.81 TWD versus a price of 16.00 TWD, about 45% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5608?
Our model-based fair value for Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 8.81 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5608?
Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.81 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.24 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.37 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.81 TWD, about 45% lower versus a price of 16.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.24 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.37 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +30.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5608 use?
Our models discount Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd that is +30.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +30.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (+30.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.21 %: that much free cash flow Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd it is 8.81 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 16.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 5608 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.00 TWD, fair value 8.81 TWD, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5608?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.81 TWD). For Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd the two are 7.19 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd at about 6.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 16.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 8.81 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5608?
Our models span a range for Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd: cautious scenario 6.24 TWD, base 8.81 TWD, optimistic 13.37 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 16.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5608?
Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.81 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5608 from its 52-week high?
Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd trades at 16.00 TWD, about 23% below its 52-week high of 20.75 TWD and 24% above the low of 12.90 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.81 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 16.00 TWD, calculated fair value 8.81 TWD (−45%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5608 calculated?
We run Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 8.81 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 16.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 8.81 TWD, about 45% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.37 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (6.24 TWD to 13.37 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The market capitalisation of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 6.2B TWD (≈ $190M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 1.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Earnings per share at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd are 0.0800 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 200.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The net margin of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
The operating margin of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Revenue at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608)?
Earnings per share at Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd are growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd (5608) carry?
The net debt of Shih Wei Navigation Co Ltd is 5.3B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 22.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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