China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd stock ¥11.43, price ¥7.04, upside +62.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.59 – ¥11.01 · fair‑value band ¥7.59 – ¥14.25 · the ¥7.04 price screens below the ¥11.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corporation Limited manufactures and sells infrastructure construction equipment internationally.
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The company offers bridge steel structures, shield machine, TBM, profiled shield machine, large special construction machinery, series maglev, and straddle rail transit turnouts and tracks.
It engages in the manufacturing and installing of steel structure products; and researches and manufactures railway turnouts, such as turnout, rail, fastening system, fish plate, sleeper, point machine, etc.
In addition, the company provides tunnel equipment, including TBM products, tunneling equipment products, rock drill jumbo, and wet shotcrete machines; research, design, and manufacturing of equipment for railway, highway, bridge, urban rail transit, tunnel, port, station yard, municipal construction, marine engineering and energy source exploitation, the civil engineering, and technical testing and state supervisory; and operation, maintenance, design, and manufacturing of cars and stations.
Further, it is involved in water environment treatment; solid waste disposal; soil remediation; equipment research, development, and manufacturing; provision of energy saving services; environmental protection; pharmaceutical production; medical waste hazardous waste disposal; and renewable resources recycling and other fields.
The company was formerly known as China Railway Erju Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corporation Limited in January 2017. China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corporation Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) currently trades at ¥7.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.43, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥11.79 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥7.04 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.78, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥7.59 (bear) to ¥14.25 (bull), the price of ¥7.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd reported revenue of 27.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 27.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.6B CNY (≈ $2.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 0.60 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5600 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 62%, 600528 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥7.59Fair Value ¥11.43Bull¥14.25
Price ¥7.04 · Upside +62.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4030 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.1% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.6% vs 12.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.9% a year for the price.
Compare China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 784 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+62.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−21.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600528
Frequently asked questions
Is China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.43 versus a price of ¥7.04, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600528?
Our model-based fair value for China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is ¥11.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.04.
What is the quality score of 600528?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.59, optimistic scenario ¥14.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.43, about +62% upside versus a price of ¥7.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.59, optimistic scenario ¥14.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.28% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.09 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 14, 2026. The payout ratio is 16.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.39 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +16.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600528 use?
Our models discount China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd that is +16.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd grew +2.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +16.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (+16.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.77 %: that much free cash flow China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd it is ¥11.43 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥7.04. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 600528 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7.04, fair value ¥11.43, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600528?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.43). For China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd the two are ¥4.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd worth?
The market values China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd at about 15.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.04; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600528?
Our models span a range for China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.59, base ¥11.43, optimistic ¥14.25 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥7.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600528?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.43 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.0. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600528 from its 52-week high?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd trades at ¥7.04, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥9.17 and 7% above the low of ¥6.59 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥7.04, calculated fair value ¥11.43 (+62%), Quality Score 48/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600528 calculated?
We run China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥11.43 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥7.04. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.43, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (48/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥7.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (¥7.59 to ¥14.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) come from?
Earnings per share at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd grew +8.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −11.9 %, EBIT margin +23.8 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The market capitalisation of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 15.6B CNY (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 0.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Earnings per share at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd are ¥0.5600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The dividend yield of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 1.3% (payout 16.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The net margin of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
The operating margin of China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Revenue at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd is growing −21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528)?
Earnings per share at China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd are growing −20.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd (600528) hold?
China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 322M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026