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Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp stock ¥0.22, price ¥1.78, that is 87.6% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE1000022B2

ST Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp

603030 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value ¥0.2200 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −29.5 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -22.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥4.55 ¥1.37 Fair Value ¥0.2200 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.37 – ¥4.55 · fair‑value band ¥0.2100 – ¥0.2500 · the ¥1.78 price screens above the ¥0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions across design, construction, production, and services in China and internationally.

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The company offers consulting; urban development and renewal solutions; one-stop headquarters technology park construction; innovation ecosystem planning; smart construction platform; green and sustainable development; full lifecycle management; and city information modeling (cim) platform integration.

It also provides smart wellness and elderly care, smart living environment design and renovation; health monitoring and management system; personalized care; and smart health and wellness community construction, as well as high-end residences, affordable housing, cultural and artistic real estate, office real estate, real estate supporting the event, high-end hotels and commercial complexes, green buildings and senior living communities, intelligent exhibition center, shared communities and talent apartments, prefabricated interior space, educational real estate, medical real estate, and tourism real estate; and Villas.

In addition, the company engages in the manufacture and installation of cabinets; sale of fashionable, technological, and environmentally friendly materials; architectural design and construction; decoration of buildings; curtain wall engineering; technology development; software development and equipment installation; and building technology services.

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030) currently trades at ¥1.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.2200, 88% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.2100 (bear) to ¥0.2500 (bull), the price of ¥1.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp reported revenue of 948M CNY in FY2025 versus 4.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −30.4%/yr. Reported net income was −290M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $351M) Small · P/S ratio 2.30 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −22.0% · Return on equity −27.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −88%, 603030 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.2100 Fair Value ¥0.2200 Bull ¥0.2500
Price ¥1.78 · Downside -87.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2200 ¥0.2500 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3100 67
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2200 ¥0.2500 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3100 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 40
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 68
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.0% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.4% (2020) → −9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

603030 screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −15.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −22.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −4.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.30× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)29 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs 603030
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs 603030
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs 603030
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs 603030
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs 603030
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs 603030
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs 603030
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs 603030
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs 603030
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs 603030

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Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603030

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.2200 versus a price of ¥1.78, about 88% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603030?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is ¥0.2200 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.78.
What is the quality score of 603030?
Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.2200 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.2100, optimistic scenario ¥0.2500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.2200, about 88% lower versus a price of ¥1.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.2100, optimistic scenario ¥0.2500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp pay a dividend?
Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp currently shows a dividend yield of 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp has a dividend yield of 1.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp it is ¥0.2200 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥1.78. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 1 family (Dividend Discount).
Is Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 603030 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥1.78, fair value ¥0.2200, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603030?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.2200). For Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp the two are ¥1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp worth?
The market values Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.78; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603030?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp: cautious scenario ¥0.2100, base ¥0.2200, optimistic ¥0.2500 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥1.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −27.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603030 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp trades at ¥1.78, about 55% below its 52-week high of ¥3.97 and 6% above the low of ¥1.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥1.78, calculated fair value ¥0.2200 (−88%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603030 calculated?
We run Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp through 2 models from 1 family: Dividend Discount. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.2200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥1.78. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.2200, about 88% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.2500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is 2.3B CNY (≈ $351M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is 2.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The net margin of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is −22.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is −27.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is −6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Revenue at Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp are growing +78.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is −34.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp (603030) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Trendzone Decor Grp is 166M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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