Shanghai Trendzone Holdings (603030) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥0.2700 to ¥0.2500 (−7.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.2900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.37 – ¥4.62 · fair‑value band ¥0.2300 – ¥0.2900 · the ¥2.07 price screens above the ¥0.2500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Trendzone Holdings (603030) currently trades at ¥2.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 87.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Trendzone Holdings generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of -26.1%. Revenue grew 38.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.0%. Net debt stands at 166M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2300 (bear case) to ¥0.2900 (bull case); at ¥2.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -88%, 603030 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.3500) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions across design, construction, production, and services in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions across design, construction, production, and services in China and internationally. The company offers consulting; urban development and renewal solutions; one-stop headquarters technology park construction; innovation ecosystem planning; smart construction platform; green and sustainable development; full lifecycle management; and city information modeling (cim) platform integration. It also provides smart wellness and elderly care, smart living environment design and renovation; health monitoring and management system; personalized care; and smart health and wellness community construction, as well as high-end residences, affordable housing, cultural and artistic real estate, office real estate, real estate supporting the event, high-end hotels and commercial complexes, green buildings and senior living communities, intelligent exhibition center, shared communities and talent apartments, prefabricated interior space, educational real estate, medical real estate, and tourism real estate; and Villas. In addition, the company engages in the manufacture and installation of cabinets; sale of fashionable, technological, and environmentally friendly materials; architectural design and construction; decoration of buildings; curtain wall engineering; technology development; software development and equipment installation; and building technology services. Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Trendzone Holdings reported revenue of ¥948M in FY2025 versus ¥4.0B in FY2021, a compound −30.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥290M in FY2025.
603030 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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