Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. stock ¥12.78, price ¥36.76, that is 65.2% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range ¥17.10 – ¥53.80 · fair‑value band ¥9.21 – ¥16.63 · the ¥36.76 price screens above the ¥12.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. provides financial armed escort and financial outsourcing services.
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The company offers financial security services, including escort and custody; integrated security services, such as security for key units and large-scale events, sales and construction of intelligent security systems, security training services, etc.
It also provides security emergency service, which includes property management, file management, and other services for large institutions, traffic emergency services, social emergency material management, emergency rescue, etc., as well as multi-level security services and overseas security services.
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) currently trades at ¥36.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.78, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥21.93 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥36.76 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.04, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥9.21 (bear) to ¥16.63 (bull), the price of ¥36.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 127M CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.5B CNY (≈ $830M) Small · P/E ratio 41.3 · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8900 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −65%, 603373 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥9.21Fair Value ¥12.78Bull¥16.63
Price ¥36.76 · Downside -65.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4616 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥10.78¥13.20¥16.3181
Growth DCF¥10.84¥12.99¥15.5979
Owner Earnings¥9.77¥11.79¥14.3977
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥10.78¥13.20¥16.3181
Owner Earnings¥9.77¥11.79¥14.3977
5Y Revenue Exit¥13.01¥18.11¥24.5372
5Y EBITDA Exit¥15.20¥22.10¥30.0275
5Y P/E Exit¥14.02¥19.95¥26.0371
10Y Revenue Exit¥11.74¥15.84¥21.1966
10Y EBITDA Exit¥13.25¥18.33¥24.9168
10Y P/E Exit¥12.57¥16.99¥22.2164
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥5.72¥15.82¥20.7865
Lynch FV¥3.16¥4.52¥5.8761
PEG = 1.0¥3.16¥4.52¥5.8757
EPV¥11.24¥12.13¥12.8773
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥1.86¥3.33¥4.5568
DDM Multi-Stage¥1.86¥2.75¥3.5567
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥13.25¥17.66¥22.0863
P/S Multiple¥10.72¥14.30¥17.8757
P/B Multiple¥34.86¥46.48¥58.1155
EV/EBIT¥19.37¥24.33¥29.3065
EV/EBITDA¥19.99¥25.17¥30.3467
EV/Revenue¥15.02¥19.53¥24.0553
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥4.60¥6.97¥8.7254
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥10.84¥12.99¥15.5979
Rev-Margin DCF¥13.01¥18.11¥23.7572
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥9.35¥9.52¥10.2176
ROIC Compounder¥11.24¥12.13¥13.2771
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥10.53¥15.04¥19.5667
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 14%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603373
Frequently asked questions
Is Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.78 versus a price of ¥36.76, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603373?
Our model-based fair value for Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is ¥12.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥36.76.
What is the quality score of 603373?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥12.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.21, optimistic scenario ¥16.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥12.78, about 65% lower versus a price of ¥36.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.21, optimistic scenario ¥16.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. pay a dividend?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.35 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 22, 2026. The payout ratio is 39.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.07 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603373 use?
Our models discount Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. that is +11.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +11.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (+11.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.88 %: that much free cash flow Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. it is ¥12.78 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥36.76. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 603373 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥36.76, fair value ¥12.78, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603373?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥36.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.78). For Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. the two are ¥23.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. worth?
The market values Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. at about 5.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥36.76; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603373?
Our models span a range for Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥9.21, base ¥12.78, optimistic ¥16.63 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥36.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603373?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.3 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥12.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 18.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603373 from its 52-week high?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥36.76, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥53.80 and 38% above the low of ¥26.58 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥36.76, calculated fair value ¥12.78 (−65%), Quality Score 44/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603373 calculated?
We run Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥12.78 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥36.76. Our model-based fair value is ¥12.78, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥9.21 to ¥16.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The market capitalisation of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 5.5B CNY (≈ $830M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 2.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Earnings per share at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. are ¥0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The dividend yield of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 1.0% (payout 39.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The net margin of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
The operating margin of Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Revenue at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373)?
Earnings per share at Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. are growing +14.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373) hold?
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 1.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 6, 2026