Anbang Save-Guard Group (603373) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +18.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range ¥17.10 – ¥43.28 · fair‑value band ¥11.26 – ¥18.77 · the ¥38.60 price screens above the ¥15.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Anbang Save-Guard Group (603373) currently trades at ¥38.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.01, implying the stock looks roughly 61.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Anbang Save-Guard Group generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.26 (bear case) to ¥18.77 (bull case); at ¥38.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -61%, 603373 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥32.06) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. provides financial armed escort and financial outsourcing services. The company offers financial security services, including escort and custody; integrated security services, such as security for key units and large-scale events, sales and construction of intelligent security systems, security training services, etc.
Full company description
Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. provides financial armed escort and financial outsourcing services. The company offers financial security services, including escort and custody; integrated security services, such as security for key units and large-scale events, sales and construction of intelligent security systems, security training services, etc. It also provides security emergency service, which includes property management, file management, and other services for large institutions, traffic emergency services, social emergency material management, emergency rescue, etc., as well as multi-level security services and overseas security services. Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anbang Save-Guard Group reported revenue of ¥2.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥127M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
603373 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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