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JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd stock ¥4.68, price ¥6.20, that is 24.5% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive CN · ISIN CNE1000043W4

JD JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd

605388 · SHG
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 46/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.3 %/yr in CNY)
Fair value ¥4.68 · Overvalued
Loss-making · -13.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data
Estimate
Watch JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥24.76 ¥4.32 Fair Value ¥4.68 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.32 – ¥24.76 · fair‑value band ¥3.51 – ¥5.86 · the ¥6.20 price screens above the ¥4.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of lactic acid bacteria beverages in China and internationally. It offers probiotics, lactic acid bacteria and mineral water products, and snacks. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Yichang, China.

Stock analysis

JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388) currently trades at ¥6.20, while our estimate is ¥4.68, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥3.51 (bear) to ¥5.86 (bull), the price of ¥6.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 914M CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −190M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.7B CNY (≈ $558M) Small · P/S ratio 2.72 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3200 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −14.3% · Return on equity −14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −25%, 605388 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥3.51 Fair Value ¥4.68 Bull ¥5.86
Price ¥6.20 · Downside -24.5%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 88
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 58
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 33
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 26
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 65
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
33.9% (2020) → −9.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

605388 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −24.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −13.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.65× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 51
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)25 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥112.06 ¥173.16 +55% vs 605388
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$45.52 HK$49.26 +8% vs 605388
Celsius Holdings CELH $32.80 $35.38 +8% vs 605388
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.34 $41.19 −9% vs 605388
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹435.00 ₹339.34 −22% vs 605388
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $117.55 $89.56 −24% vs 605388
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $143.61 $97.18 −32% vs 605388
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $37.59 $24.43 −35% vs 605388
Primo Brands Corporation PRMB $24.07 $12.23 −49% vs 605388
The Coca-Cola Company KO $96.91 $29.32 −70% vs 605388

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JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605388

Frequently asked questions

Is JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥4.68 versus a price of ¥6.20, about 25% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605388?
Our estimate for JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is ¥4.68 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.20.
What is the quality score of 605388?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥4.68 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥3.51, optimistic scenario ¥5.86. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥4.68, about 25% lower versus a price of ¥6.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.51, optimistic scenario ¥5.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd pay a dividend?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd it is ¥4.68 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥6.20.
Is JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 605388 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.20, fair value ¥4.68, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 605388?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.68). For JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd the two are ¥1.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd worth?
The market values JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd at about 3.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.20; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605388?
Our models span a range for JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.51, base ¥4.68, optimistic ¥5.86 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥6.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Balance-sheet figures for JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −14.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 605388 from its 52-week high?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd trades at ¥6.20, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥8.87 and 33% above the low of ¥4.67 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥6.20, calculated fair value ¥4.68 (−25%), Quality Score 46/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥6.20. Our estimate is ¥4.68, about 25% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The market capitalisation of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is 3.7B CNY (≈ $558M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is 2.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Earnings per share at JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd are ¥−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The dividend yield of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The net margin of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is −14.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is −14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
The operating margin of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Revenue at JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388)?
Earnings per share at JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd are growing −20.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388) generate?
The free cash flow of JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd is −27.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd (605388) hold?
JuneYao Dairy Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 214M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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