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RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd stock ¥15.58, price ¥21.60, that is 27.9% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE1000076Z7

RT RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd

688051 · SHG
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 43/100
Revenue last quarter 24% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥15.58 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.8 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -76.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥79.15 ¥14.41 Fair Value ¥15.58 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.41 – ¥79.15 · fair‑value band ¥11.69 – ¥19.48 · the ¥21.60 price screens above the ¥15.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Rockontrol Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of applications in IoT technology in China. The company provides product sales services, and operation and maintenance services for smart environmental protection and smart city business.

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It offers smart environmental protection cluster platforms, including atmospheric and water environment joint prevention and control management platform, solid waste and hazardous waste intelligent supervision platform, and eco-environmental business empowerment platform; smart park management platform for development, transformation, and upgrading needs of the park; and intelligent building products.

The company also provides industrial enterprise digital carbon meter series products; green project library and financial carbon ledger series products; hardware terminal equipment, such as carbon cartridges, carbon cabinets, and carbon zone services; technical services; technical consultation; big data service; and internet of things services.

It is also involved in smart-dual carbon platform business, by using big data and artificial intelligence algorithm to serve carbon market management; construction industry business; technology development business; environmental protection and governance consulting; computer data processing; and investment management activities.

The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051) currently trades at ¥21.60, while our estimate is ¥15.58, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥11.69 (bear) to ¥19.48 (bull), the price of ¥21.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 213M CNY in FY2025 versus 486M CNY in FY2021, a compound −18.7%/yr. Reported net income was −129M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7B CNY (≈ $251M) Micro · P/S ratio 8.99 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.77 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −76.3% · Return on equity −24.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −103%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −28%, 688051 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥11.69 Fair Value ¥15.58 Bull ¥19.48
Price ¥21.60 · Downside -27.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 38
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−29.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
29.2% (2020) → −62.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688051 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 723 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −76.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −102.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −24.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.80× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 9.31× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $236.70 $463.72 +96% vs 688051
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.48 $342.73 +61% vs 688051
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $70.05 $101.28 +45% vs 688051
Intuit Inc INTU $340.44 $459.14 +35% vs 688051
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $99.61 $112.17 +13% vs 688051
SAP SE SAP €209.95 €173.59 −17% vs 688051
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $331.64 $225.48 −32% vs 688051
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $305.44 $150.40 −51% vs 688051
Shopify Inc SHOP $146.61 $64.96 −56% vs 688051
Snowflake Inc SNOW $295.76 $73.81 −75% vs 688051

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RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688051

Frequently asked questions

Is RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥15.58 versus a price of ¥21.60, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688051?
Our estimate for RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is ¥15.58 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥21.60.
What is the quality score of 688051?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥15.58 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥11.69, optimistic scenario ¥19.48. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥15.58, about 28% lower versus a price of ¥21.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.69, optimistic scenario ¥19.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 180M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd it is ¥15.58 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥21.60.
Is RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 688051 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥21.60, fair value ¥15.58, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688051?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥21.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥15.58). For RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd the two are ¥6.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd at about 1.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥21.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥15.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688051?
Our models span a range for RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.69, base ¥15.58, optimistic ¥19.48 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥21.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
Balance-sheet figures for RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −24.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688051 from its 52-week high?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd trades at ¥21.60, about 57% below its 52-week high of ¥50.61 and 8% above the low of ¥20.00 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥15.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥21.60, calculated fair value ¥15.58 (−28%), Quality Score 43/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥21.60. Our estimate is ¥15.58, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The market capitalisation of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is 1.7B CNY (≈ $251M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is 8.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
Earnings per share at RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd are ¥−1.77. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The dividend yield of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The net margin of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is −76.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is −24.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is −13.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
The operating margin of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is −103% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051)?
Revenue at RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is growing −24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051) generate?
The free cash flow of RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd is −14.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd (688051) hold?
RocKontrol Technology Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 8.8M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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