Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd stock ¥10.61, price ¥13.25, that is 19.9% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.55 – ¥67.29 · fair‑value band ¥7.96 – ¥14.28 · the ¥13.25 price screens above the ¥10.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells steel materials and new energy wind power components in China and internationally.
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It offers wind power equipment parts, including wind turbine spindles; structural parts of gearbox, hub, and body frames; special stainless steel; high-temperature alloys, corrosion resistant alloys, and steel; die and tool steel products, such as plastic mold, and hot and cold work tool steels; gear steel products; and other precision mechanical parts used in wind power, chemical engineering, machinery, automobile, vessel, power station, metallurgy, mining, and petrochemical industries.
The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.
Stock analysis
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186) currently trades at ¥13.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.61, 20% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥18.86 per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥13.25 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥9.64, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥7.96 (bear) to ¥14.28 (bull), the price of ¥13.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was 206M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.7B CNY (≈ $557M) Small · P/E ratio 189.3 · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −20%, 688186 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥7.96Fair Value ¥10.61Bull¥14.28
Price ¥13.25 · Downside -19.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0600 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥12.28¥12.27¥12.6776
EPV¥5.23¥7.00¥8.4974
ROIC Compounder¥5.23¥7.00¥8.4972
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings¥3.91¥16.22¥39.7467
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥4.99¥34.81¥48.8563
Lynch FV¥10.60¥15.14¥19.6961
PEG = 1.0¥10.60¥15.14¥19.6957
EPV¥5.23¥7.00¥8.4974
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥6.32¥11.79¥16.7367
DDM Multi-Stage¥6.32¥10.57¥12.5467
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥9.36¥12.48¥15.6063
P/S Multiple¥9.36¥12.48¥15.6058
P/B Multiple¥18.10¥24.13¥30.1655
EV/EBIT¥6.39¥12.08¥17.7863
EV/EBITDA¥11.60¥19.04¥26.4765
EV/Revenue¥4.11¥10.46¥16.8050
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥7.46¥10.00¥14.9254
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥12.28¥12.27¥12.6776
ROIC Compounder¥5.23¥7.00¥8.4972
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥13.20¥18.86¥24.5267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 9%
Compare Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688186
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.61 versus a price of ¥13.25, about 20% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688186?
Our model-based fair value for Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is ¥10.61 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.25.
What is the quality score of 688186?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.61 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.96, optimistic scenario ¥14.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.61, about 20% lower versus a price of ¥13.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.96, optimistic scenario ¥14.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 6.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 6.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd it is ¥10.61 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥13.25. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 688186 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.25, fair value ¥10.61, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688186?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.61). For Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd the two are ¥2.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd at about 3.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.25; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688186?
Our models span a range for Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.96, base ¥10.61, optimistic ¥14.28 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥13.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688186?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 189.3 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.61 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 34.9. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688186 from its 52-week high?
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd trades at ¥13.25, about 55% below its 52-week high of ¥29.15 and 11% above the low of ¥11.89 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥13.25, calculated fair value ¥10.61 (−20%), Quality Score 28/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688186 calculated?
We run Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥10.61 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.25. Our model-based fair value is ¥10.61, about 20% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The market capitalisation of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 3.7B CNY (≈ $557M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Earnings per share at Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 189.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The dividend yield of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 6.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The net margin of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
The operating margin of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Revenue at Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is growing −7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186)?
Earnings per share at Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd are growing −95.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is −1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd (688186) carry?
The net debt of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co Ltd is 3.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026