Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co stock HK$3.40, price HK$2.50, upside +36.0%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range HK$1.78 – HK$9.97 · fair‑value band HK$2.24 – HK$4.25 · the HK$2.50 price screens below the HK$3.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of Pu'er tea products in People's Republic of China. The company offers its products under the 1966, Tea Mama, and Iland Tea brand names.
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It sells its products through self-operated stores, distributor-operated stores, tea beverage manufacturers, and hypermarket chains, as well as operates online stores.
The company formerly known as Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd. in February 2018. Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pu'er, China.
Stock analysis
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911) currently trades at HK$2.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.40, implying the stock looks roughly 26% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: HK$2.24 (bear) to HK$4.25 (bull), the price of HK$2.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co reported revenue of 219M CNY in FY2026 versus 559M CNY in FY2022, a compound −20.9%/yr. Reported net income was −91.0M CNY in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$375M (≈ $47.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.43 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −41.6% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 16.3% · Revenue (TTM) 263M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 36%, 6911 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$2.24Fair Value HK$3.40BullHK$4.25
Price HK$2.50 · Upside +36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)HK$2.60HK$3.94HK$4.9255
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)HK$2.60HK$3.94HK$4.9255
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
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’21
’22
’23
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
36.0% (2021) → −31.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−22.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)36.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6911
Frequently asked questions
Is Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.40 versus a price of HK$2.50, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6911?
Our model-based fair value for Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is HK$3.40 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.50.
What is the quality score of 6911?
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.40 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.24, optimistic scenario HK$4.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.40, about +36% upside versus a price of HK$2.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.24, optimistic scenario HK$4.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 263M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co pay a dividend?
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co currently shows a dividend yield of 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co has a dividend yield of 2.8%.
What is the intrinsic value of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co it is HK$3.40 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of HK$2.50. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 6911 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.50, fair value HK$3.40, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6911?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.40). For Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co the two are HK$0.9000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co worth?
The market values Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co at about HK$375M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.50; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6911?
Our models span a range for Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co: cautious scenario HK$2.24, base HK$3.40, optimistic HK$4.25 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price HK$2.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −9.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6911 from its 52-week high?
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co trades at HK$2.50, about 24% below its 52-week high of HK$3.30 and 40% above the low of HK$1.78 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price HK$2.50, calculated fair value HK$3.40 (+36%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6911 calculated?
We run Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$3.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co currently trades 26% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was HK$2.50. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.40, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$2.24 to HK$4.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The market capitalisation of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is HK$375M (≈ $47.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is 1.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The dividend yield of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The net margin of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is −41.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
The operating margin of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Revenue at Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is growing +36.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911)?
Earnings per share at Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co are growing −85.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911) generate?
The free cash flow of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is −96.8M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (6911) carry?
The net debt of Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co is 369M CNY (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026