Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.24, price HK$0.11, upside +114.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1760 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3100 · the HK$0.1120 price screens below the HK$0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 14, 2026.
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BOSA Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides mechanical splicing services to the reinforced concrete construction industry in Hong Kong. The company is involved in processing and connecting reinforcing bars by couplers.
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It serves contractors and subcontractors in the public and private sector projects. BOSA Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) currently trades at HK$0.1120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 53% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2700 per share, and 21 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.1120 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1750, and 0 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2000 (bear) to HK$0.3100 (bull), the price of HK$0.1120 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$65.6M in FY2026 versus HK$109M in FY2022, a compound −11.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.9M in FY2026, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$96.8M (≈ $12.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.6 · P/S ratio 1.36 · Net margin 24.3% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 16.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$65.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 114%, 8140 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.2000Fair Value HK$0.2400BullHK$0.3100
Price HK$0.1120 · Upside +114.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.9% vs 7.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 16%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Compare Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 420 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+114.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)24.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−14.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)5.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.48× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.0× · Cheaper than median
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Is Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$0.1120, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8140?
Our model-based fair value for Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2400 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1120.
What is the quality score of 8140?
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2400 (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2400, about +114% upside versus a price of HK$0.1120 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$65.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Today's price is already fair in a discounted-cash-flow model if free cash flow at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd shrinks by more than 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue fell 8.3 % per year. As of Nov 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8140 use?
Our models discount Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd shrank 8.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.06 %: that much free cash flow Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2400 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1120. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 8140 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1120, fair value HK$0.2400, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8140?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1120); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2400). For Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd at about HK$96.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1120; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8140?
Our models span a range for Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2000, base HK$0.2400, optimistic HK$0.3100 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price HK$0.1120). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8140?
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6 (as of Nov 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2400 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 4.8. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity 7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8140 from its 52-week high?
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1120, about 26% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1510 and 12% above the low of HK$0.1000 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price HK$0.1120, calculated fair value HK$0.2400 (+114%), Quality Score 58/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8140 calculated?
We run Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd through 21 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd currently trades 53% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.1120. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2400, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) come from?
Earnings per share at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd grew 16.3 % a year from 2016 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin +1.9 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The market capitalisation of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is HK$96.8M (≈ $12.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is 1.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The net margin of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is 24.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
The operating margin of Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Revenue at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd is down 14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140)?
Earnings per share at Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd are down 80.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd (8140) hold?
Bosa Technology Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$59.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 14, 2026