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Air Industries Group (AIRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Air Industries Group stock $1.92, price $2.80, that is 31.4% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AI Air Industries Group logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Air Industries Group

AIRI · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Fair value $1.92 · Overvalued
Quality 29/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.9 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -3.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 7/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$13.00 $2.32 Fair Value $1.92 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.32 – $13.00 · fair‑value band $0.9100 – $3.95 · the $2.80 price screens above the $1.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Air Industries Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of precision components and assemblies for defense and aerospace industry in the United States.

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It offers actuators, arresting gears, aerostructures, aircraft structures, chaff pod assemblies, machining and milling solutions, cylinders, drag beams and braces, flight controls, flight safety components, integrated assemblies, landing gears, large diameter turn-mills, submarine valves, thrust struts, engine mounts, and turbine engine components and weldments for aircraft jet engines, ground turbines, and other complex machines.

Air Industries Group was founded in 1941 and is based in Bay Shore, New York.

Stock analysis

Air Industries Group (AIRI) currently trades at $2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.92, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.9100 (bear) to $3.95 (bull), the price of $2.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Air Industries Group reported revenue of $47.9M in FY2025 versus $58.9M in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $13.5M Micro · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3500 · Net margin −3.8% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.1% · Revenue (TTM) $46.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −31%, AIRI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9100 Fair Value $1.92 Bull $3.95
Price $2.80 · Downside -31.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a $1.92 $3.95 62
NCAV (Graham) $0.9100 $1.38 $1.72 55
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a $1.92 $3.95 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9100 $1.38 $1.72 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 17
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 70
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 34
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 37
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 3/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.9% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AIRI screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −3.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −5.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.70× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TransDigm Group TDG $1,197 $1,317 +10% vs AIRI
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $152.92 $168.21 +10% vs AIRI
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $567.08 $439.21 −23% vs AIRI
General Dynamics Corporation GD $354.06 $274.19 −23% vs AIRI
Thales S.A HO €221.70 €170.99 −23% vs AIRI
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $525.01 $382.98 −27% vs AIRI
Airbus SE AIR €196.40 €112.14 −43% vs AIRI
RTX Corporation RTX $189.53 $88.19 −53% vs AIRI
General Electric Company GE $323.24 $92.26 −71% vs AIRI
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $205.81 $52.65 −74% vs AIRI

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Air Industries Group: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Air Industries Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRI

Frequently asked questions

Is Air Industries Group (AIRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.92 versus a price of $2.80, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIRI?
Our model-based fair value for Air Industries Group is $1.92 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.80.
What is the quality score of AIRI?
Air Industries Group has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.92 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9100, optimistic scenario $3.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Air Industries Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.92, about 31% lower versus a price of $2.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9100, optimistic scenario $3.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Air Industries Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $46.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Air Industries Group it is $1.92 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $2.80. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Air Industries Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AIRI trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.80, fair value $1.92, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIRI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.92). For Air Industries Group the two are $0.8800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Air Industries Group worth?
The market values Air Industries Group at about $13.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $2.80; our models calculate a fair value of $1.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIRI?
Our models span a range for Air Industries Group: cautious scenario $0.9100, base $1.92, optimistic $3.95 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $2.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Air Industries Group (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIRI from its 52-week high?
Air Industries Group trades at $2.80, about 21% below its 52-week high of $3.54 and 21% above the low of $2.32 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Air Industries Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Air Industries Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $2.80, calculated fair value $1.92 (−31%), Quality Score 29/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIRI calculated?
We run Air Industries Group through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.92 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Air Industries Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.80. Our model-based fair value is $1.92, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Air Industries Group right now?
Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.9100 to $3.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Air Industries Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The market capitalisation of Air Industries Group is $13.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Air Industries Group is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Earnings per share at Air Industries Group are $−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The net margin of Air Industries Group is −3.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Air Industries Group is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Air Industries Group is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
The operating margin of Air Industries Group is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Air Industries Group (AIRI)?
Revenue at Air Industries Group is growing −5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Air Industries Group (AIRI) generate?
The free cash flow of Air Industries Group is −$4.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Air Industries Group (AIRI) carry?
The net debt of Air Industries Group is $30.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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