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AML3D Ltd (AL3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AML3D Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.11, that is 61.4% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials AU · ISIN AU0000079212

AL AML3D Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

AML3D Ltd

AL3 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +78.8 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -35.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3250 A$0.0460 Fair Value A$0.0425 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0460 – A$0.3250 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0510 · the A$0.1100 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

AML3D Limited engages in the provision of 3D printing systems and contract manufacturing services to the aerospace, marine, defence, oil and gas, mining, and general manufacturing sectors in Australia, Singapore, and the United States.

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It produces metal components and structures through automated wire-fed 3D printing technology.

The company designs and constructs ARCEMY 3D printing modules for sale or lease; and 3D parts using wire-arc additive manufacturing technology; as well as provides licensing, service, and technical support for customers.

AML3D Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in North Plympton, Australia.

Stock analysis

AML3D Ltd (AL3) currently trades at A$0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0510 (bull), the price of A$0.1100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

AML3D Ltd reported revenue of A$11.8M in FY2026 versus A$2.0M in FY2022, a compound +55.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$62.4M (≈ $43.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.14 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −35.9% · Return on equity −14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −39.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.6% · Revenue (TTM) A$12.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −61%, AL3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0425 Bull A$0.0510
Price A$0.1100 · Downside -61.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 9
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+59.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+78.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−949.8% (2021) → −64.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AL3 screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with ATI Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −35.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −2.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 234.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 5.00× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 68
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.57 ¥13.02 +36% vs AL3
Commercial Metals Company CMC $62.28 $83.04 +33% vs AL3
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $52.96 $50.63 −4% vs AL3
ESAB Corporation ESAB $82.83 $56.91 −31% vs AL3
Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 ¥43.25 ¥26.76 −38% vs AL3
Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $278.31 $140.03 −50% vs AL3
SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 ¥3.08 ¥1.42 −54% vs AL3
ATI Inc ATI $175.79 $46.69 −73% vs AL3
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹1,740 ₹390.35 −78% vs AL3
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥24.10 ¥5.06 −79% vs AL3

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AML3D Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AML3D Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AL3

Frequently asked questions

Is AML3D Ltd (AL3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.1100, about 61% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AL3?
Our model-based fair value for AML3D Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1100.
What is the quality score of AL3?
AML3D Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AML3D Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about 61% lower versus a price of A$0.1100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
AML3D Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$12.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AML3D Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$0.1100. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is AML3D Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, AL3 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1100, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AL3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For AML3D Ltd the two are A$0.0675 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AML3D Ltd worth?
The market values AML3D Ltd at about A$62.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1100; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AL3?
Our models span a range for AML3D Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0510 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$0.1100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
Balance-sheet figures for AML3D Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −14.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AL3 from its 52-week high?
AML3D Ltd trades at A$0.1100, about 51% below its 52-week high of A$0.2250 and 18% above the low of A$0.0930 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AML3D Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AML3D Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$0.1100, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−61%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AL3 calculated?
We run AML3D Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0425 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AML3D Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.1100. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AML3D Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0255 to A$0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of AML3D Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The market capitalisation of AML3D Ltd is A$62.4M (≈ $43.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AML3D Ltd is 6.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
Earnings per share at AML3D Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The net margin of AML3D Ltd is −35.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AML3D Ltd is −14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AML3D Ltd is −39.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
The operating margin of AML3D Ltd is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AML3D Ltd (AL3)?
Revenue at AML3D Ltd is growing +234% versus a year earlier (3y avg +165%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does AML3D Ltd (AL3) generate?
The free cash flow of AML3D Ltd is −A$6.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does AML3D Ltd (AL3) hold?
AML3D Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$25.1M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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