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Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc stock $2.22, price $2.73, that is 18.7% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AW Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc

ARTW · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 19% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 46/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -1.7% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 4.5%
Revenue last quarter 13% below a year ago.
Fair value $2.22 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 22/100 · thin data
Thin data
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.31 $1.41 Fair Value $2.22 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.41 – $7.31 · fair‑value band $2.09 – $2.44 · the $2.73 price screens above the $2.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. manufactures and sells agricultural equipment, and specialized modular science and agricultural buildings in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Agricultural Products and Modular Buildings.

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The Agricultural Products segment offers various specialized farm machinery, including portable and stationary animal feed processing equipment and related attachments; forage equipment, such as forage boxes, bale processors, running gears, and dump boxes; manure spreaders; sugar beet harvesting equipment; dirt work equipment; and after-market service parts.

Its Modular Buildings segment produces, sells, and leases swine buildings, complex containment research laboratories, and research facilities for academic research institutions, government research and diagnostic centers, public health institutions, and private research and pharmaceutical companies.

This segment also designs, manufactures, delivers, installs, and rents building units. It markets and sells its products through independent farm equipment dealers, and OEM sales channels. Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Armstrong, Iowa.

Stock analysis

Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW) currently trades at $2.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.22, 19% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.16 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the $2.73 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.6600, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.09 (bear) to $2.44 (bull), the price of $2.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc reported revenue of $23.0M in FY2025 versus $25.0M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding +48.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $14.1M Micro · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0900 · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.3% · Revenue (TTM) $25.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −19%, ARTW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.09 Fair Value $2.22 Bull $2.44
Price $2.73 · Downside -18.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $0.3900 $0.6600 $1.16 74
Residual Income $2.09 $2.22 $2.44 71
Graham-Dodd $1.35 $2.08 $2.48 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.3900 $0.6600 $1.16 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.35 $2.08 $2.48 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.13 $4.17 $5.22 63
P/S Multiple $2.53 $3.38 $4.22 58
P/B Multiple $1.52 $2.03 $2.54 55
EV/EBITDA $0.8200 $1.50 $2.19 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7100 $1.08 $1.35 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.09 $2.22 $2.44 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.21 $3.16 $4.11 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 46
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 54
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 89
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 29
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 66
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 47
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+28.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.34.0% vs −1.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−17% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

ARTW screens overvalued: fair value 19% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −18.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 4.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.56× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.77× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)8 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$34.98 HK$56.97 +63% vs ARTW
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.17 ¥9.74 +36% vs ARTW
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €40.49 €49.89 +23% vs ARTW
PACCAR Inc PCAR $101.98 $112.18 +10% vs ARTW
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.50 ¥21.45 +10% vs ARTW
Metso Oyj METSO €16.99 €18.69 +10% vs ARTW
Traton SE 8TRA €33.78 €32.85 −3% vs ARTW
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $11.56 $8.65 −25% vs ARTW
Caterpillar Inc CAT $558.63 $283.68 −49% vs ARTW
Deere & Company DE $671.65 $263.46 −61% vs ARTW

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Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARTW

Frequently asked questions

Is Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.22 versus a price of $2.73, about 19% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARTW?
Our model-based fair value for Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is $2.22 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.73.
What is the quality score of ARTW?
Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.22 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $2.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.22, about 19% lower versus a price of $2.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $2.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc it is $2.22 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $2.73. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, ARTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.73, fair value $2.22, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.22). For Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc the two are $0.5100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc worth?
The market values Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc at about $14.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.73; our models calculate a fair value of $2.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARTW?
Our models span a range for Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc: cautious scenario $2.09, base $2.22, optimistic $2.44 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $2.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ARTW?
The PEG ratio of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is 2.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −3.0%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARTW from its 52-week high?
Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc trades at $2.73, about 26% below its 52-week high of $3.67 and 32% above the low of $2.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $2.73, calculated fair value $2.22 (−19%), Quality Score 46/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARTW calculated?
We run Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc through 9 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.22 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.73. Our model-based fair value is $2.22, about 19% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The market capitalisation of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is $14.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Earnings per share at Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc are $−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The net margin of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is −1.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
The operating margin of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Revenue at Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW)?
Earnings per share at Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc are growing −88.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW) generate?
The free cash flow of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc (ARTW) carry?
The net debt of Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is $6.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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